PolyBot

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Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.163. up 0.156 over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.007 to 0.393. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3101010
0.4882535
0.4891853
0.774861
0.77550111
0.78010121
0.9775126
0.979150276
0.980250526
0.98320546
0.99050596
0.99915611

Spread0.294Mid0.163

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0162121
0.014186207
0.01014221
0.00390311
0.002150461
0.0012,2152,676

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9842121
0.986186207
0.99014221
0.99790311
0.998150461
0.9992,2152,676

Spread0.294Mid0.837

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6901010
0.5122535
0.5111853
0.226861
0.22550111
0.22010121
0.0235126
0.021150276
0.020250526
0.01720546
0.01050596
0.00115611

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
paineaterYes135.17
AJSVYes49.45
HaradwaithYes25.1
winexecutescaleYes25
signalsoYes20
chrispike2Yes18.52
a5533Yes10
rocky42019Yes8.99
IntaSewerYes4.44
fred1321Yes3.7
POB1Yes1.29
buoysNo186.2
LornaPredictsNo42.36
SmartBoyBillyNo20.1
sakura11No20
SlowroastedNo18.31
tiongbuNo13.94
02p1imaa5fpuNo1.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:32:24SELLNo0.996$5.99
04:13:10BUYNo0.84999996141$1.10
04:13:09BUYNo0.818$14.65
11:28:07SELLYes0.186$1.09
09:40:43SELLNo0.736$4.45
17:38:00SELLYes0.20825$5.20
06:11:37BUYNo0.8120$16.28
05:23:40BUYYes0.269999968119$5.00
14:04:13BUYNo0.826$5.00
22:52:22SELLNo0.7368$49.41
17:51:54SELLNo0.7346$33.79
03:45:24BUYYes0.26999985424$1.00
04:55:33BUYYes0.2720$5.40
01:46:43BUYYes0.275$1.35
17:59:18SELLNo0.7320$14.60
08:10:23SELLNo0.77520$15.50
08:46:12SELLYes0.266$1.48
05:51:33SELLYes0.3714$5.29
01:21:22BUYYes0.3912$4.52
00:27:13SELLYes0.46$2.42
19:58:34BUYYes0.40999999124$10.00
14:05:16SELLYes0.4329$12.47
14:05:07SELLYes0.4416$7.04
12:53:12SELLYes0.4440$17.60
10:53:10SELLYes0.445$2.20