PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

02p1imaa5fpu

0xe4e0dd541e4e0feeefa2aa8391fcf119332d1a91

Realised P&L
$9.29
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$22.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.7400.945$1.40+$0.30
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7900.935$1.30+$0.20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8200.954$1.28+$0.18
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8300.915$1.21+$0.11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.996$1.20+$0.10
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8290.905$1.20+$0.10
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.975$1.19+$0.09
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8800.945$1.18+$0.08
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7300.770$1.16+$0.06
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.8000.835$1.15+$0.05
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.9100.925$1.12+$0.02
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · No0.9490.964$1.12+$0.02
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026? · No0.8500.857$1.11+$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$1.11+$0.01
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · No0.9000.905$1.11+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 21:24Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.03$0.03
09-05 13:08Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.7199995287$1.10
09-05 04:16Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9$1.10
09-05 04:13Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?BUY0.8499999614$1.10
08-29 20:06Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise MertensBUY0.359999856$1.10
08-20 15:16Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$1.18
08-20 14:01Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5599999796$1.10
08-15 18:29Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.8539999099$1.10
08-12 01:26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$1.10
08-12 01:26Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.8999992636$1.10
08-01 12:44Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.8199993738$1.10
08-01 12:19Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?BUY0.72$1.10
07-27 20:45Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.65$0.30
07-19 10:36Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.87$1.10
07-16 00:56Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.34$0.04