fred1321
0xd8dc8347c59038e892ab4ff0073441a2605db4d2
- Realised P&L
- $-49.63
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $231.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.34at 0.141Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?
- +$17.34at 0.226Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$16.96at 0.110Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$13.59at 0.602Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.57at 0.300US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:20 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:19 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:19 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 04:17 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.95 |
| 11-01 04:16 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:13 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.04 | $1.03 |
| 11-01 03:41 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:41 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:40 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:40 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:38 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:37 | Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |