PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.004 to 0.009. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0065858
0.015100158
0.01650208
0.045200408
0.046200608
0.047100708
0.04810718
0.0496001,318
0.0503001,618
0.0571001,718
0.058501,768
0.075101,778

Spread0.004Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0021919
0.0019,1229,141

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9981919
0.9999,1229,141

Spread0.004Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9945858
0.985100158
0.98450208
0.955200408
0.954200608
0.953100708
0.95210718
0.9516001,318
0.9503001,618
0.9431001,718
0.942501,768
0.925101,778

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815Yes1,306.26
2kparabellumYes300
WabhruYes242.14
LornaPredictsYes241.28
PolyJaguarYes239.9
AJSVYes147.27
ACaraYes137.96
0x56a8…eea2Yes115
LLLLLXJJJJJJJYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
xiaodouziYes100
NorthLuopanYes95
fang1957Yes80
cry.eth2Yes74.16
jennylulu2016Yes62
dumperYes60
ArepozYes58.97
wrongandstupidYes53.2
LavinceyYes51
whalesYes50.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:40:33BUYNo0.99810$9.98
03:00:50BUYNo0.99810$9.98
03:00:50BUYNo0.99820$19.96
03:00:50BUYNo0.99810$9.98
02:59:15BUYNo0.99810$9.98
22:51:12BUYNo0.9985$4.99
04:15:03BUYNo0.9985$4.99
23:15:15BUYNo0.997754003620$20.28
23:15:09BUYNo0.99710$9.97
18:58:40BUYNo0.99740$39.88
18:58:39BUYNo0.9976$6.40
18:58:39BUYNo0.99740$39.88
03:12:49BUYNo0.9975$4.99
02:21:01BUYNo0.9976$6.43
02:20:51BUYNo0.9973$3.22
04:05:31BUYNo0.9955$4.97
21:36:20SELLYes0.0093410133242$2.26
10:49:26BUYYes0.01110$0.11
10:38:41BUYYes0.0190$0.90
09:16:17SELLYes0.00536$0.18
09:50:41BUYNo0.9969$8.96
16:48:58BUYYes0.0136$0.36
16:34:05SELLYes0.015$0.05
16:29:22BUYNo0.9945$4.97
16:29:20BUYNo0.99482$81.47