Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.68. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.73. Range 0.68 to 0.73. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	200	200
0.70	100	300
0.71	589	889
0.73	115	1,004
0.74	997	2,001
0.75	5,844	7,845
0.76	900	8,745
0.77	3,000	11,745
0.78	1,000	12,745
0.80	486	13,232
0.83	2,000	15,232
0.89	727	15,959

Spread0.02Mid0.68

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	1,534	1,534
0.66	771	2,305
0.65	50	2,355
0.63	900	3,255
0.62	417	3,672
0.61	18	3,690
0.60	960	4,650
0.52	60	4,710
0.51	484	5,195
0.50	500	5,695
0.40	500	6,195
0.39	500	6,695

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	1,534	1,534
0.34	771	2,305
0.35	50	2,355
0.37	900	3,255
0.38	417	3,672
0.39	18	3,690
0.40	960	4,650
0.48	60	4,710
0.49	484	5,195
0.50	500	5,695
0.60	500	6,195
0.61	500	6,695

Spread0.02Mid0.32

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	200	200
0.30	100	300
0.29	589	889
0.27	115	1,004
0.26	997	2,001
0.25	5,844	7,845
0.24	900	8,745
0.23	3,000	11,745
0.22	1,000	12,745
0.20	486	13,232
0.17	2,000	15,232
0.11	727	15,959

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x9D32aD42A0077Da197FaAA861A65346A11250Fb9-1768930807659	Yes	32,471.69
hose	Yes	19,223.42
0x5CcF37d9Cc7F0A9902bECC415DB82Bd641a9FCA1-1724422285071	Yes	9,791.92
chickengambler	Yes	7,089.96
0xa92D7e1210d522Ac80306197C8a21A87484b23eD-1778055551866	Yes	6,829.55
Liquidifier	Yes	6,185.78
changoto3245436	Yes	5,655.16
mrstupid	Yes	5,021.38
altsaredead	Yes	4,508.95
Marioy	Yes	4,267.38
vacoolaaa	Yes	3,509.98
Mmgp	Yes	2,942.04
ncaawinnerwinner	Yes	2,025.72
0x87cF30Fc98C6D670Ef2b369f49c02c9D66D30f40-1760581645683	Yes	2,024.47
554m	Yes	2,000
ochzzz	Yes	1,641.68
imjustalarp	Yes	1,638.08
greenrooibos	Yes	1,568.98
polll11	Yes	1,460
nchgbhy	Yes	1,383.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:21:48	SELL	Yes	0.67198	50	$33.60
22:21:36	SELL	Yes	0.6926083	1,033	$715.47
22:21:36	BUY	Yes	0.72	41	$29.52
18:19:29	SELL	Yes	0.712184006	1,033	$735.69
14:45:12	BUY	Yes	0.7299999917	8	$6.13
14:39:12	BUY	Yes	0.729999983	14	$10.30
05:33:21	BUY	No	0.2799999985	318	$89.00
01:27:44	BUY	No	0.2799999981	357	$100.00
08:38:06	BUY	No	0.2799999875	48	$13.49
05:31:53	SELL	No	0.27	320	$86.40
21:04:20	SELL	Yes	0.72	302	$217.74
05:46:56	BUY	Yes	0.7302439024	41	$29.94
05:31:50	BUY	Yes	0.73	38	$27.74
05:16:48	SELL	No	0.26	5	$1.30
03:40:18	SELL	No	0.27	20	$5.40
03:33:48	SELL	Yes	0.72	58	$41.75
03:19:17	SELL	No	0.26	40	$10.40
20:58:23	BUY	No	0.2699999983	370	$100.00
20:16:02	SELL	Yes	0.73	10	$7.02
17:19:06	BUY	No	0.2699999993	741	$200.00
07:44:35	BUY	No	0.27	106	$28.62
15:41:54	SELL	Yes	0.73	67	$49.15
14:27:48	BUY	No	0.2699999392	10	$2.80
07:13:57	SELL	Yes	0.73	19	$13.80
08:54:28	SELL	No	0.26	15	$3.90