chickengambler
0xebc05b45ba24e782fca2ef613096c75feb275aaf
- Realised P&L
- $9.5k
- Volume
- $400.2k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $19.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.749Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$2.8kat 0.131Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$2.3kat 0.704Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$2.1kat 0.398MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.9kat 0.611LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 14:32 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $864.53 |
| 09-10 14:31 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4998 | $249.90 |
| 09-10 14:30 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9200433088 | $2.1k |
| 09-10 11:28 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.774175824 | $3.8k |
| 09-10 11:27 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $980.63 |
| 09-09 22:11 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5346534649 | $199.00 |
| 09-09 22:08 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-09 22:06 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5196363615 | $2.7k |
| 09-09 22:05 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.51 | $204.00 |
| 09-09 22:05 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.5k |
| 09-09 22:04 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $103.48 |
| 09-09 22:04 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5298973181 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 22:04 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5090909091 | $56.00 |
| 09-09 16:19 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0178865579 | $32.32 |
| 09-09 16:19 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.06 | $43.89 |