PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

chickengambler

0xebc05b45ba24e782fca2ef613096c75feb275aaf

Realised P&L
$7.2k
Volume
$400.3k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$18.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6580.875$6.2k+$1.5k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.705$1.9k+$752.56
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $1,0000.5590.360$1.9k−$1.0k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3410.725$1.7k+$877.14
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4200.305$1.5k−$582.07
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6940.938$1.4k+$372.76
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1520.105$1.2k−$524.68
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9480.998$997.50+$49.37
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8200.994$776.46+$135.60
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.8841.000$616.67+$71.67
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.7190.406$239.28−$185.08
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · No0.7950.949$119.24+$19.24
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.3690.415$112.36+$12.36
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8750.940$107.41+$7.41
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.984$55.25+$5.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 14:32LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.92$864.53
09-10 14:31LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4998$249.90
09-10 14:30LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9200433088$2.1k
09-10 11:28LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.774175824$3.8k
09-10 11:27LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.79$980.63
09-09 22:11LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5346534649$199.00
09-09 22:08LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.48$4.80
09-09 22:06LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5196363615$2.7k
09-09 22:05LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.51$204.00
09-09 22:05LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.52$1.5k
09-09 22:04LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.52$103.48
09-09 22:04LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5298973181$2.0k
09-09 22:04LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5090909091$56.00
09-09 16:19LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.0178865579$32.32
09-09 16:19LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.06$43.89