PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Liquidifier

0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b

Realised P&L
$22.5k
Volume
$78.34M
Markets traded
2,851
Open portfolio
$53.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,851
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8350.945$9.4k+$1.1k
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8870.945$6.6k+$405.06
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3920.860$5.3k+$2.9k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9400.957$5.1k+$89.91
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8730.950$3.3k+$269.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · No0.9720.973$2.7k+$2.53
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7080.545$2.5k$750.32
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.1160.755$1.8k+$1.5k
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6120.880$1.6k+$486.93
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0750.206$1.3k+$829.55
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6130.150$938.27$2.9k
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6890.945$885.66+$239.74
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.165$845.25$845.25
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5280.956$814.13+$364.16
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6000.865$725.69+$222.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 17:52Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.9756916996$493.70
09-14 14:04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.971$379.66
09-14 14:04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.971$41.75
09-14 14:04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.971$576.77
09-14 14:03Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.973$577.96
09-14 14:03Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.9700417191$601.29
07-29 17:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.179913975$359.83
07-23 11:42US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.89$26.70
07-23 11:34US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.89$13.74
07-23 11:32US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.14$21.03
07-23 11:30US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1243760984$7.08
07-20 16:33China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.88$1.6k
07-20 16:10China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.89$4.5k
07-20 04:59Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.942$288.13
07-19 22:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$20.93
Trader Liquidifier · PolyBot Pro