Liquidifier
0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b
- Realised P&L
- $180.7k
- Volume
- $78.25M
- Markets traded
- 3,078
- Open portfolio
- $149.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,078
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$492.1kat 0.245No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$281.0kat 0.988No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$247.9kat 0.003Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$165.5kat 0.007Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$136.0kat 0.003Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:23 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.979 | $617.66 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3422739726 | $49.97 |
| 11-01 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $65.67 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $6.56 |
| 11-01 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4168893418 | $441.84 |
| 11-01 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $24.58 |
| 11-01 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8995010201 | $656.90 |
| 11-01 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9171096595 | $158.65 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3751167109 | $84.85 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $28.84 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.434690534 | $57.31 |
| 11-01 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4305424165 | $137.08 |
| 11-01 15:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.663719311 | $347.93 |
| 11-01 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.79 | $402.52 |
| 11-01 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5421538929 | $160.72 |