PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Liquidifier

0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b

Realised P&L
$20.4k
Volume
$78.34M
Markets traded
2,849
Open portfolio
$49.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,849
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8350.935$9.3k+$1.0k
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8870.915$6.4k+$195.06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9400.946$5.0k+$28.64
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3920.680$4.2k+$1.8k
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8730.945$3.3k+$251.56
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7080.495$2.3k$979.88
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.1160.725$1.7k+$1.4k
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6120.855$1.6k+$441.57
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6130.175$1.1k$2.7k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.205$1.1k$640.34
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6890.855$801.31+$155.39
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0750.123$774.26+$303.93
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6000.885$742.47+$239.10
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5280.815$693.97+$244.00
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6860.120$500.29$2.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 17:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.179913975$359.83
07-23 11:42US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.89$26.70
07-23 11:34US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.89$13.74
07-23 11:32US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.14$21.03
07-23 11:30US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1243760984$7.08
07-20 16:33China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.88$1.6k
07-20 16:10China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.89$4.5k
07-20 04:59Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.942$288.13
07-19 22:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$20.93
07-19 21:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.061$305.00
07-19 21:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.949$124.45
07-18 10:12Solana Up or Down on July 18?BUY0.43$2.15
07-12 11:28Solana Up or Down on July 12?BUY0.033$11.32
07-09 22:01Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.82$164.00
07-09 22:01Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.82$82.00