Liquidifier
0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b
- Realised P&L
- $20.4k
- Volume
- $78.34M
- Markets traded
- 2,849
- Open portfolio
- $49.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,849
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80Mat 0.100Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
- +$496.6kat 0.243No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$316.2kat 0.100Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
- +$285.6kat 0.988No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$247.8kat 0.003Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.179913975 | $359.83 |
| 07-23 11:42 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 07-23 11:34 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.74 |
| 07-23 11:32 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $21.03 |
| 07-23 11:30 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1243760984 | $7.08 |
| 07-20 16:33 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.6k |
| 07-20 16:10 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.5k |
| 07-20 04:59 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $288.13 |
| 07-19 22:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $20.93 |
| 07-19 21:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.061 | $305.00 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.949 | $124.45 |
| 07-18 10:12 | Solana Up or Down on July 18? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-12 11:28 | Solana Up or Down on July 12? | BUY | 0.033 | $11.32 |
| 07-09 22:01 | Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 07-09 22:01 | Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |