PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Liquidifier

0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b

Realised P&L
$180.7k
Volume
$78.25M
Markets traded
3,078
Open portfolio
$149.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,078
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.9240.979$70.5k+$4.0k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · No0.7970.928$27.8k+$3.9k
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3920.875$5.4k+$3.0k
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8870.966$2.9k+$235.09
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9300.945$2.5k+$40.30
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8730.959$2.1k+$190.98
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.0400.540$2.0k+$1.8k
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.1160.810$1.9k+$1.6k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8350.966$1.7k+$235.20
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No0.7320.690$1.3k−$76.54
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6700.940$1.0k+$298.74
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026? · No0.7340.922$921.33+$188.21
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026? · No0.8220.950$907.87+$122.00
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6890.955$895.03+$249.11
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.0910.444$887.00+$705.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:23Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.979$617.66
11-01 19:20Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?BUY0.3422739726$49.97
11-01 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.73$65.67
11-01 16:09Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.41$6.56
11-01 16:08Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.4168893418$441.84
11-01 15:42Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.82$24.58
11-01 15:42Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.8995010201$656.90
11-01 15:42Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.9171096595$158.65
11-01 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.3751167109$84.85
11-01 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.45$28.84
11-01 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.434690534$57.31
11-01 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4305424165$137.08
11-01 15:35Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.663719311$347.93
11-01 15:33Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.79$402.52
11-01 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.5421538929$160.72