PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

imjustalarp

0x57e4bd0fa030e6a6fdde7ee0b58aa497b4f6835e

Realised P&L
$23.6k
Volume
$2.61M
Markets traded
514
Open portfolio
$74.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded514
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5140.610$11.4k+$1.8k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6140.760$7.9k+$1.5k
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7980.860$7.9k+$565.02
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.735$3.6k+$171.48
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8300.934$3.2k+$355.81
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8410.840$2.9k$4.97
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.8000.955$2.3k+$372.02
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6930.967$2.3k+$640.10
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8520.850$2.1k$4.54
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7300.945$2.1k+$475.00
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9000.880$2.0k$44.40
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5590.220$1.8k$2.8k
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9000.986$1.7k+$151.45
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8000.952$1.7k+$273.61
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes0.7500.700$1.4k$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$60.00
09-09 05:01Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.54$162.00
09-09 05:01Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.955$30.48
09-09 05:00Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.962$33.29
09-09 05:00Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.93$37.94
09-07 11:09Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.7$608.30
09-07 11:09Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8298$4.1k
09-07 11:08Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5$849.70
08-27 12:02Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.64$640.00
08-27 12:00Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.7999130435$1.8k
08-25 09:56Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.1191303144$39.15
08-25 09:54Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.51$2.67
08-25 09:54Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.59$1.7k
08-21 14:28APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.8325079437$460.60
08-21 14:27Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launchBUY0.75$78.45