imjustalarp
0x57e4bd0fa030e6a6fdde7ee0b58aa497b4f6835e
- Realised P&L
- $23.6k
- Volume
- $2.61M
- Markets traded
- 514
- Open portfolio
- $74.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded514
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.9kat 0.659Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$9.1kat 0.421Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$5.6kat 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$5.4kat 0.658Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$5.4kat 0.327Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 09-09 05:01 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $162.00 |
| 09-09 05:01 | Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.955 | $30.48 |
| 09-09 05:00 | Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.962 | $33.29 |
| 09-09 05:00 | Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $37.94 |
| 09-07 11:09 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $608.30 |
| 09-07 11:09 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8298 | $4.1k |
| 09-07 11:08 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $849.70 |
| 08-27 12:02 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $640.00 |
| 08-27 12:00 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7999130435 | $1.8k |
| 08-25 09:56 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1191303144 | $39.15 |
| 08-25 09:54 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.67 |
| 08-25 09:54 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.7k |
| 08-21 14:28 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8325079437 | $460.60 |
| 08-21 14:27 | Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.75 | $78.45 |