ncaawinnerwinner
0xa35d92b73fee5aa5dbf78fb0c5e0b6a67bfbc048
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.610Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$358.92at 0.674Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
- +$288.98at 0.561Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17?
- +$257.48at 0.544Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
- +$204.44at 0.556Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:31 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 06-27 13:31 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 06-27 13:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.8k |
| 06-27 13:29 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6876457753 | $1.4k |
| 05-02 15:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY | 0.88 | $528.00 |
| 05-02 15:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.66 | $615.98 |
| 05-02 15:30 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.86 | $99.55 |
| 05-02 15:28 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.959 | $268.80 |
| 05-02 15:28 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.86 | $486.06 |
| 04-13 18:25 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.7481341463 | $1.2k |
| 04-13 18:25 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.74 | $57.49 |
| 04-13 18:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | BUY | 0.54 | $151.27 |
| 04-13 18:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.6k |
| 04-13 18:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.05 | $283.81 |
| 04-13 18:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.64 | $36.12 |