PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

p1kachu

0xfc10258b3ff4fb9b7dfdb8fdbc08438475e989c3

Realised P&L
$-393.87
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6270.555$2.9k−$379.70
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6790.875$2.6k+$577.19
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.5240.725$2.5k+$692.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 14:58Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6099999999$2.3k
10-04 14:57Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.7194497108$800.00
09-24 17:28Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6699999999$1.0k
08-23 05:55Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?BUY0.7465559879$250.00
08-23 05:53Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.2518525339$322.48
08-13 01:23Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.242716413$14.83
08-11 16:38Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.5506881516$705.12
08-11 16:19Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9472369097$100.00
08-11 16:08Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.6790344712$2.0k
08-11 16:07Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.4299999998$1000.00