PolyBot

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Traders

Mmgp

0x3644050e43f4350fa0af361e88bd0cbed3abdd79

Realised P&L
$22.9k
Volume
$66.0k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar34.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6120.860$2.5k+$730.16
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2740.610$1.9k+$1.0k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3910.760$1.7k+$847.27
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9740.974$9.74+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 23:56Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.97$1.3k
06-01 02:35Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.17$1.5k
05-29 14:14Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.3$300.00
05-29 14:12Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.29$1.5k
05-29 14:11Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.28$29.12
05-29 14:11Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.28$287.67
05-21 07:24Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.974$9.74
05-21 07:23Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2742305892$857.20
05-21 07:22Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.3914684667$900.00
05-21 07:22Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.6118202353$1.8k
12-03 11:24Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.7699999998$698.13
12-03 11:19Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?BUY0.9212498744$800.00
12-03 11:18Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7799999999$1.5k