0xa92D7e1210d522Ac80306197C8a21A87484b23eD-1778055551866
0xa92d7e1210d522ac80306197c8a21a87484b23ed
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar33.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.521 | 0.860 | $5.9k | +$2.3k |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.698 | 0.967 | $2.6k | +$733.38 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.760 | $774.74 | +$499.55 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.610 | $471.21 | +$324.44 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.985 | $273.30 | +$20.68 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 05:50 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.4k |
| 05-19 05:50 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.24 |
| 05-19 05:47 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $417.60 |
| 05-19 05:47 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.19 | $146.77 |
| 05-19 05:46 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $3.89 |
| 05-19 05:46 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 05-19 05:46 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 05-19 05:45 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $594.38 |
| 05-19 05:44 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $291.20 |
| 05-06 09:03 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $252.62 |