PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa92D7e1210d522Ac80306197C8a21A87484b23eD-1778055551866

0xa92d7e1210d522ac80306197c8a21a87484b23ed

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar33.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5210.860$5.9k+$2.3k
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6980.967$2.6k+$733.38
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.760$774.74+$499.55
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.610$471.21+$324.44
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9100.985$273.30+$20.68

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 05:50Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.54$1.4k
05-19 05:50Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.53$4.24
05-19 05:47Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.72$417.60
05-19 05:47Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.19$146.77
05-19 05:46Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.27$3.89
05-19 05:46Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.27$270.00
05-19 05:46Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.26$1.30
05-19 05:45Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.53$594.38
05-19 05:44Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.52$291.20
05-06 09:03Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.91$252.62