BetterHold
0x8c7836b270daf59bce721087f41ef10684a413ed
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $712.3k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026 · No | 0.954 | 0.989 | $2.6k | +$90.15 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.936 | $1.6k | −$34.24 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.743 | 0.815 | $908.72 | +$79.98 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.791 | 0.773 | $735.56 | −$17.55 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.670 | 0.739 | $147.70 | +$13.70 |
| Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.853 | 0.884 | $79.54 | +$2.87 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.602 | 0.005 | $5.51 | −$656.96 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.926 | 0.982 | $4.91 | +$0.28 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.595 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.50 |
| Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.784Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
- +$536.15at 0.683Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$473.72at 0.167Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?
- +$354.45at 0.339Will Hurupay launch a token by June 30, 2027?
- +$255.84at 0.583Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:46 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-17 19:46 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.78 | $88.06 |
| 09-17 19:46 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.77 | $101.64 |
| 09-15 21:51 | Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8952147244 | $507.30 |
| 09-13 23:34 | Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8525793573 | $615.23 |
| 09-12 01:45 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.8261714621 | $112.56 |
| 09-10 22:56 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9640094966 | $508.57 |
| 09-09 18:33 | LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7123400468 | $356.16 |
| 09-07 22:40 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | SELL | 0.3222756842 | $30.62 |
| 09-07 09:51 | Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.9776579511 | $456.18 |
| 09-07 07:21 | Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.9536868334 | $2.5k |
| 09-04 19:25 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 09-03 06:27 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $227.74 |
| 09-02 22:10 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.7128062656 | $279.41 |
| 09-02 20:43 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.3k |