PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BetterHold

0x8c7836b270daf59bce721087f41ef10684a413ed

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$712.3k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026 · No0.9540.989$2.6k+$90.15
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.9560.936$1.6k$34.24
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · No0.7430.815$908.72+$79.98
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.7910.773$735.56$17.55
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6700.739$147.70+$13.70
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8530.884$79.54+$2.87
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6020.005$5.51$656.96
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9260.982$4.91+$0.28
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5950.000$0.00$238.00
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$17.50
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:46Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.78$39.00
09-17 19:46Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.78$88.06
09-17 19:46Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.77$101.64
09-15 21:51Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.8952147244$507.30
09-13 23:34Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8525793573$615.23
09-12 01:45Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.8261714621$112.56
09-10 22:56Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9640094966$508.57
09-09 18:33LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?SELL0.7123400468$356.16
09-07 22:40Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.3222756842$30.62
09-07 09:51Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.9776579511$456.18
09-07 07:21Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026BUY0.9536868334$2.5k
09-04 19:25Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.87$4.35
09-03 06:27Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$227.74
09-02 22:10Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.7128062656$279.41
09-02 20:43Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$1.3k