PolyBot

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Traders

Marioy

0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e

Realised P&L
$-914.14
Volume
$3.99M
Markets traded
522
Open portfolio
$198.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded522
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5880.959$28.0k+$10.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4330.915$27.4k+$14.5k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7080.972$21.9k+$5.9k
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? · No0.9300.915$18.3k−$297.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? · No0.8850.875$11.8k−$140.68
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7450.987$9.9k+$2.4k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? · Yes0.9380.941$9.4k+$25.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.875$8.7k+$5.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? · No0.8100.785$7.8k−$249.86
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.4780.935$7.6k+$3.7k
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? · No0.6700.665$6.7k−$49.98
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4960.974$6.1k+$3.0k
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3500.951$4.8k+$3.0k
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.934$4.7k+$3.4k
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.785$3.9k+$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:12Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.89$4.4k
11-01 09:16Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?BUY0.67$6.6k
11-01 09:13Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?BUY0.9294960017$3.7k
11-01 09:13Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.88$402.60
11-01 09:13Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?BUY0.81$3.3k
11-01 09:12Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?SELL0.48$26.40
11-01 09:09Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?BUY0.49$1.8k
11-01 05:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?BUY0.790963$1.6k
11-01 05:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3?BUY0.937968$9.4k
11-01 05:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?BUY0.8836460177$499.26
10-31 01:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?BUY0.98$381.22
10-31 01:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?BUY0.895$122.62
10-31 00:56Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?BUY0.82$1.2k
10-31 00:53Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.8995$179.90
10-30 10:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?BUY0.954$646.81