PolyBot

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Traders

Marioy

0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e

Realised P&L
$38.7k
Volume
$3.75M
Markets traded
461
Open portfolio
$133.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded461
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5880.930$27.1k+$10.0k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4330.855$25.6k+$12.7k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7080.935$21.1k+$5.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · No0.9350.945$18.9k+$200.00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8830.815$11.1k$926.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.810$8.1k+$5.2k
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7450.700$7.0k$449.81
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4960.630$3.9k+$837.11
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.860$3.7k+$1.1k
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3500.535$2.7k+$925.00
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.455$2.3k+$975.00
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2100.390$1.9k+$900.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$2.4k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$630.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29? · Yes0.8120.000$0.00$458.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 01:06Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.94$9.4k
08-17 01:10Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?BUY0.48426$484.26
08-16 23:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?BUY0.74$740.00
08-16 23:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?BUY0.7695$769.50
08-16 23:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?BUY0.82$716.68
08-12 10:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?BUY0.93$823.62
08-05 01:52Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.59$590.00
08-05 01:52Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.58$1.0k
08-05 01:51Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.79$996.19
08-05 01:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?SELL0.998$9.1k
08-05 01:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?BUY0.91$802.45
08-03 12:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.9643484986$628.48
08-03 08:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.65$610.95
08-02 23:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?BUY0.77$1.5k
08-02 23:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?BUY0.8017499587$1.6k