Marioy
0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e
- Realised P&L
- $38.7k
- Volume
- $3.75M
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $133.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.910Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$7.2kat 0.855Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
- +$6.5kat 0.350Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$6.1kat 0.819Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
- +$5.7kat 0.833EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.4k |
| 08-17 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BUY | 0.48426 | $484.26 |
| 08-16 23:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20? | BUY | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 08-16 23:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.7695 | $769.50 |
| 08-16 23:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $716.68 |
| 08-12 10:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.93 | $823.62 |
| 08-05 01:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.59 | $590.00 |
| 08-05 01:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.0k |
| 08-05 01:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.79 | $996.19 |
| 08-05 01:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.1k |
| 08-05 01:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $802.45 |
| 08-03 12:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9643484986 | $628.48 |
| 08-03 08:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $610.95 |
| 08-02 23:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 23:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.8017499587 | $1.6k |