Marioy
0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e
- Realised P&L
- $-914.14
- Volume
- $3.99M
- Markets traded
- 522
- Open portfolio
- $198.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded522
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.350Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$5.7kat 0.833EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$4.9kat 0.746Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$2.7kat 0.884Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$2.3kat 0.941Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.4k |
| 11-01 09:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.6k |
| 11-01 09:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9294960017 | $3.7k |
| 11-01 09:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | BUY | 0.88 | $402.60 |
| 11-01 09:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.3k |
| 11-01 09:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | SELL | 0.48 | $26.40 |
| 11-01 09:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 05:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.790963 | $1.6k |
| 11-01 05:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.937968 | $9.4k |
| 11-01 05:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.8836460177 | $499.26 |
| 10-31 01:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $381.22 |
| 10-31 01:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.895 | $122.62 |
| 10-31 00:56 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.2k |
| 10-31 00:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.8995 | $179.90 |
| 10-30 10:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.954 | $646.81 |