manekineko
0x660622caad009a8cc1f38038c0913be658621338
- Realised P&L
- $82.4k
- Volume
- $12.62M
- Markets traded
- 553
- Open portfolio
- $143.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded553
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.5kat 0.965Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
- +$7.6kat 0.906Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$6.6kat 0.868Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$5.3kat 0.984Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$4.1kat 0.724Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $10.25 |
| 10-31 05:33 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 20:10 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.9k |
| 10-29 02:35 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5410048627 | $1.5k |
| 10-29 02:35 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.55 | $550.00 |
| 10-28 15:58 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $128.80 |
| 10-28 15:55 | Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.75 |
| 10-27 12:50 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $81.51 |
| 10-23 03:54 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $354.15 |
| 10-22 01:37 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $8.16 |
| 10-18 23:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19? | SELL | 0.4941142569 | $117.46 |
| 10-18 16:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.29 | $31.90 |
| 10-16 13:22 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $48.26 |
| 10-16 13:22 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $26.03 |
| 10-07 22:46 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $8.9k |