US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.014 over the period, from 0.049. Range 0.035 to 0.049. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.047	29	29
0.048	79	108
0.049	114	222
0.050	1,409	1,631
0.052	7	1,637
0.057	57	1,694
0.071	50	1,744
0.080	11	1,755
0.100	10	1,765
0.105	33	1,798
0.109	500	2,298
0.179	15	2,313

Spread0.024Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	11	11
0.022	15	26
0.021	104	130
0.020	10	140
0.019	18	158
0.018	115	273
0.017	5	278
0.016	41	318
0.015	273	591
0.009	33	624
0.008	37	661
0.007	19	681

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	11	11
0.978	15	26
0.979	104	130
0.980	10	140
0.981	18	158
0.982	115	273
0.983	5	278
0.984	41	318
0.985	273	591
0.991	33	624
0.992	37	661
0.993	19	681

Spread0.024Mid0.965

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.953	29	29
0.952	79	108
0.951	114	222
0.950	1,409	1,631
0.948	7	1,637
0.943	57	1,694
0.929	50	1,744
0.920	11	1,755
0.900	10	1,765
0.895	33	1,798
0.891	500	2,298
0.821	15	2,313

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
drfgsaer	Yes	2,500
coali10	Yes	2,004.6
sdiff123	Yes	1,350.92
Alexx4525	Yes	874.29
0x4BC10494e9FF592c77C277471F2Cbcf63e2e6721-1772882594705	Yes	499.83
northern-alliance-2	Yes	399.96
afterdark1111	Yes	390.87
Ardtysrt01	Yes	358.36
0x66f0…db06	Yes	355.07
zerocha16	Yes	232.89
planktonXD	Yes	209.86
perry420	Yes	175.65
LILO-DOG	Yes	166.91
Lavincey	Yes	128
AlwaysHungryAF	Yes	123.89
pottengerLastCat	Yes	102.2
ma99	Yes	100
ledgerek	Yes	100
0xFca356F571f4fdfdA2398784BC668f1AA3f59d7D-1775030983031	Yes	99.97
rsabahor	Yes	98.73

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:01:22	SELL	No	0.953	1	$0.99
13:36:57	BUY	No	0.9699999303	11	$11.00
14:43:46	BUY	No	0.9629899337	405	$390.00
02:06:19	SELL	No	0.95	23	$21.71
01:57:00	SELL	No	0.95	21	$20.04
20:02:31	BUY	Yes	0.05	5	$0.25
19:01:43	BUY	Yes	0.05	6	$0.29
11:50:46	SELL	Yes	0.047	5	$0.23
10:44:57	SELL	No	0.95	22	$21.35
10:43:51	SELL	No	0.95	6	$5.22
10:39:09	SELL	No	0.95	22	$20.76
10:37:07	SELL	No	0.95	17	$15.86
09:22:51	BUY	No	0.9529999788	31	$30.00
07:13:19	SELL	No	0.95	6	$5.35
07:07:22	SELL	No	0.95	35	$32.98
07:02:15	SELL	No	0.95	7	$6.65
06:59:04	SELL	No	0.95	9	$8.63
06:57:03	SELL	No	0.95	29	$27.84
06:55:01	SELL	No	0.95	21	$20.10
06:48:52	SELL	No	0.95	11	$10.55
06:46:48	SELL	No	0.95	11	$10.55
06:42:15	SELL	No	0.95	23	$22.23
05:45:22	BUY	Yes	0.05	5	$0.25
03:40:04	SELL	No	0.95	9	$8.33
03:10:39	SELL	No	0.95	16	$15.29