US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.037. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.029 to 0.038. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.046	24	24
0.047	87	110
0.048	104	215
0.049	200	415
0.050	378	793
0.052	81	874
0.099	23	896
0.100	10	906
0.105	33	939
0.179	15	954
0.239	50	1,004
0.350	50	1,054

Spread0.020Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	46	46
0.024	58	104
0.023	120	224
0.022	173	397
0.021	104	501
0.020	10	511
0.018	19	529
0.017	122	651
0.016	50	701
0.015	305	1,006
0.010	7	1,013
0.009	33	1,046

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	46	46
0.976	58	104
0.977	120	224
0.978	173	397
0.979	104	501
0.980	10	511
0.982	19	529
0.983	122	651
0.984	50	701
0.985	305	1,006
0.990	7	1,013
0.991	33	1,046

Spread0.020Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.954	24	24
0.953	87	110
0.952	104	215
0.951	200	415
0.950	378	793
0.948	81	874
0.901	23	896
0.900	10	906
0.895	33	939
0.821	15	954
0.761	50	1,004
0.650	50	1,054

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
coali10	Yes	2,004.6
Alexx4525	Yes	1,960.51
0x4BC10494e9FF592c77C277471F2Cbcf63e2e6721-1772882594705	Yes	499.83
northern-alliance-2	Yes	399.96
afterdark1111	Yes	390.87
sdiff123	Yes	377.91
0x66f0…db06	Yes	355.07
Ardtysrt01	Yes	353.53
zerocha16	Yes	232.89
planktonXD	Yes	209.86
perry420	Yes	175.65
LILO-DOG	Yes	166.91
neutralwave23	Yes	141.25
Lavincey	Yes	128
kroko	Yes	126.96
AlwaysHungryAF	Yes	123.89
pottengerLastCat	Yes	102.2
ma99	Yes	100
ledgerek	Yes	100
0xFca356F571f4fdfdA2398784BC668f1AA3f59d7D-1775030983031	Yes	99.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:01:04	SELL	No	0.9549823183	5	$4.86
00:59:27	BUY	No	0.9700530452	5	$4.94
07:05:50	BUY	Yes	0.035	11	$0.38
15:02:05	SELL	No	0.9534304878	8	$7.82
15:01:52	SELL	No	0.954	6	$5.37
15:01:50	BUY	No	0.9753171609	8	$8.00
15:01:37	SELL	No	0.954	6	$5.86
15:01:32	BUY	No	0.975999983	6	$5.50
15:01:20	SELL	No	0.953	7	$6.83
15:01:20	BUY	No	0.9759999974	6	$6.00
15:01:07	SELL	No	0.9531909091	6	$5.24
15:01:05	BUY	No	0.975999884	7	$7.00
15:00:50	SELL	No	0.954	6	$5.87
15:00:47	BUY	No	0.9753568907	6	$5.37
15:00:26	BUY	No	0.975	6	$6.00
09:46:16	SELL	No	0.9538289291	7	$6.86
09:45:32	BUY	No	0.9729999992	7	$7.00
08:53:34	SELL	No	0.953	6	$5.87
08:51:59	BUY	No	0.9729999979	6	$6.00
06:05:58	SELL	No	0.9539967532	6	$5.88
06:03:58	BUY	No	0.9739998847	6	$6.00
03:31:25	SELL	No	0.954	6	$5.88
03:31:00	BUY	No	0.9739998847	6	$6.00
00:19:05	SELL	No	0.954	6	$5.38
00:18:51	BUY	No	0.9739998704	6	$5.50