0xFca356F571f4fdfdA2398784BC668f1AA3f59d7D-1775030983031
0xfca356f571f4fdfda2398784bc668f1aa3f59d7d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.42
- Volume
- $192.57
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $33.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.951 | $20.55 | +$16.01 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No | 0.506 | 0.500 | $4.85 | −$0.06 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.035 | $3.55 | −$6.45 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.974 | $3.04 | +$0.51 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.033 | $1.37 | −$3.62 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.380US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 07:27 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 00:16 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.53 |
| 04-22 18:09 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.506 | $4.91 |
| 04-22 17:11 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |