PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4BC10494e9FF592c77C277471F2Cbcf63e2e6721-1772882594705

0x4bc10494e9ff592c77c277471f2cbcf63e2e6721

Realised P&L
$-168.69
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$71.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.255$35.42+$10.42
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.034$16.99$7.00
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5000.535$10.70+$0.70
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1700.100$7.50$5.25
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.1200.075$0.63$0.38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$20.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · No0.3550.000$0.00$100.00
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Morocco0.2200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 13:50Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-19 12:30Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?SELL0.0850381587$21.17
08-12 14:13Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?SELL0.3441601664$6.62
08-10 17:56Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
08-02 16:14Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.17$12.75
08-02 16:14Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5$10.00
07-28 11:32US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.048$1.75
07-19 18:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.412$72.71
07-08 14:00France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2199999936$20.00
07-07 09:14NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999952$25.00
07-07 09:05Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3499999918$15.00
07-07 09:04Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2399999918$20.00
07-05 20:08Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999955$30.00
07-05 20:07Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3499999895$20.00
05-16 22:53Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.097$9.70