Alexx4525
0x0a2516f0dfab5b0a57c70dc9e363095d1a2952c1
- Realised P&L
- $-715.66
- Volume
- $199.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $112.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.070Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$-32.00at 0.061Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$-58.28at 0.056Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
- +$-188.32at 0.010Trump out as President by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.0063391442 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 20:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $15.42 |
| 08-01 20:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.4199999927 | $21.83 |
| 08-01 20:44 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2965950884 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:28 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:27 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0819999928 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 22:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0876919314 | $4.27 |
| 07-31 22:55 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 22:55 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 22:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 22:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0869603809 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 22:52 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0394710471 | $26.62 |
| 07-30 00:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |