PolyBot

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Traders

Alexx4525

0x0a2516f0dfab5b0a57c70dc9e363095d1a2952c1

Realised P&L
$-837.43
Volume
$211.8k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$82.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1390.125$49.36$5.64
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.035$30.16$10.84
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1340.036$2.68$7.32
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$121.69
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.0060.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00$50.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.4200.000$0.00$21.83
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$43.74
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$28.07
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$18.85
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$10.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$14.50
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$13.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 01:08NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999962$30.00
09-01 01:08NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.006908093$5.00
08-29 21:46NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0093940384$4.05
08-26 20:59NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.021$10.04
08-26 17:31NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0300436732$10.32
08-26 09:58NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.03$10.05
08-26 09:57NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.03$19.71
08-25 21:42US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0475578556$10.00
08-25 21:42NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0304778115$15.00
08-25 19:37NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0299999986$20.00
08-17 19:37US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0486552365$7.00
08-17 19:37NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$15.00
08-17 19:37NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0299999988$25.00
08-17 15:12NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.031151534$10.89
08-17 12:31US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0357198468$4.00