PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Alexx4525

0x0a2516f0dfab5b0a57c70dc9e363095d1a2952c1

Realised P&L
$-715.66
Volume
$199.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$112.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2430.205$37.95$7.06
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$18.57$1.43
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.063$17.85$6.42
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.041$16.53$3.47
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1340.130$9.68$0.32
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.140$7.78$2.22
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2960.085$2.87$7.13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.0060.001$0.79$9.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.4200.009$0.47$21.36
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$121.69
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00$50.50
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$28.07
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$14.50
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$13.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.0063391442$10.00
08-01 20:46Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.25$15.42
08-01 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.4199999927$21.83
08-01 20:44Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2965950884$10.00
08-01 17:25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
07-31 23:28Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-31 23:27US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0489999955$10.00
07-31 23:27NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0819999928$10.00
07-31 22:56NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0876919314$4.27
07-31 22:55Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-31 22:55US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0489999955$10.00
07-31 22:54NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-31 22:54NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0869603809$10.00
07-31 22:52Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0394710471$26.62
07-30 00:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2399999967$50.00