Alexx4525
0x0a2516f0dfab5b0a57c70dc9e363095d1a2952c1
- Realised P&L
- $-837.43
- Volume
- $211.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $82.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.070Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$-5.71at 0.070Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
- +$-25.18at 0.243Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$-33.73at 0.063Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$-58.28at 0.056Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 01:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 01:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006908093 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 21:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0093940384 | $4.05 |
| 08-26 20:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $10.04 |
| 08-26 17:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0300436732 | $10.32 |
| 08-26 09:58 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $10.05 |
| 08-26 09:57 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $19.71 |
| 08-25 21:42 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0475578556 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 21:42 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0304778115 | $15.00 |
| 08-25 19:37 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999986 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 19:37 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0486552365 | $7.00 |
| 08-17 19:37 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 08-17 19:37 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-17 15:12 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.031151534 | $10.89 |
| 08-17 12:31 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0357198468 | $4.00 |