perry420
0x0bca6a88cb19816222785d031ddf9bbc2cbeb60c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.48
- Volume
- $768.60
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.038 | $6.67 | −$23.33 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.62at 0.420Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
- +$9.47at 0.220US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.19at 0.314Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$-10.00at 0.130Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 16:47 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.339999953 | $4.63 |
| 05-03 16:43 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 03-02 21:58 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.170794193 | $30.00 |
| 03-02 21:57 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.0882448028 | $10.00 |
| 03-02 21:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0652195014 | $10.00 |
| 02-23 20:26 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999473 | $2.67 |
| 02-11 13:43 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01892813 | $3.00 |
| 02-09 22:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 22:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $0.98 |