PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

perry420

0x0bca6a88cb19816222785d031ddf9bbc2cbeb60c

Realised P&L
$-3.48
Volume
$768.60
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$6.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1710.038$6.67−$23.33
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$3.00
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$4.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 16:47Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY0.339999953$4.63
05-03 16:43Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
03-02 21:58US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.170794193$30.00
03-02 21:57Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0882448028$10.00
03-02 21:56Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0652195014$10.00
02-23 20:26US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2199999473$2.67
02-11 13:43Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?BUY0.01892813$3.00
02-09 22:19Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
02-09 22:14Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
02-09 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.3099998295$0.98