pottengerLastCat
0x1409708374b0dcb1f56744d5c59a402ae3c4735e
- Realised P&L
- $-707.15
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.034 | $3.47 | −$16.53 |
| Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland · Finland | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$452.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.63at 0.645Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
- +$66.27at 0.737Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
- +$59.23at 0.813Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
- +$41.09at 0.730Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$21.88at 0.888Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 23:23 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.5599999997 | $252.67 |
| 02-15 23:22 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $136.40 |
| 02-10 11:30 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | BUY | 0.3408264141 | $104.40 |
| 02-09 01:05 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | BUY | 0.8358712139 | $200.00 |
| 02-09 01:01 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4399999993 | $200.00 |
| 02-09 00:55 | Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 00:55 | Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 22:17 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | SELL | 0.999 | $477.07 |
| 02-08 14:43 | Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | SELL | 0.9801293494 | $227.32 |
| 02-08 14:02 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.8445044737 | $314.98 |
| 01-18 09:53 | Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | BUY | 0.7278565438 | $66.59 |
| 01-18 09:53 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | SELL | 0.47 | $66.59 |
| 01-11 14:02 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.6699999984 | $94.93 |
| 01-11 14:01 | Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | SELL | 0.6758924884 | $94.93 |
| 01-08 11:21 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.6999999914 | $73.20 |