US recession by end of 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-31
Resolves by: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.06 to 0.09. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	859	859
0.07	4,154	5,013
0.08	1,839	6,851
0.09	4,435	11,286
0.10	3,868	15,154
0.11	2,243	17,397
0.12	1,110	18,507
0.13	1,200	19,707
0.14	2,000	21,707
0.15	3,645	25,351
0.16	760	26,111
0.17	10	26,121

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	7,834	7,834
0.04	5,061	12,894
0.03	12,395	25,290
0.02	54,072	79,362
0.01	164,181	243,542

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	7,834	7,834
0.96	5,061	12,894
0.97	12,395	25,290
0.98	54,072	79,362
0.99	164,181	243,542

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	859	859
0.93	4,154	5,013
0.92	1,839	6,851
0.91	4,435	11,286
0.90	3,868	15,154
0.89	2,243	17,397
0.88	1,110	18,507
0.87	1,200	19,707
0.86	2,000	21,707
0.85	3,645	25,351
0.84	760	26,111
0.83	10	26,121

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xa0f2…1848	Yes	405,877
XVFlow	Yes	69,286.87
Wojtek	Yes	9,898.29
Chandaria	Yes	8,565.75
tanye	Yes	6,378.5
Ondra	Yes	5,943.09
ikerv	Yes	5,599.99
0xB87d55Cc65d2c060Ab16CfCd9d9b49E9D00fd094-1768047958836	Yes	4,321.08
slippy0	Yes	3,999.97
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	3,537.55
0xblocked	Yes	3,534.53
neutralwave23	Yes	3,389.64
TimeTraveler	Yes	2,937.55
usaar	Yes	2,630.32
0xB1973A4c1edA59307dBC495a4BC384f77cDe6968-1780833529951	Yes	2,562.25
jacoboliver	Yes	2,508.23
BTCGambler247	Yes	2,500
bbpro1	Yes	2,249.99
michonbj	Yes	2,100.61
MissWonderfun	Yes	1,945.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:29:12	SELL	Yes	0.05	115	$5.77
17:18:10	BUY	No	0.9499998703	5	$4.76
09:59:07	BUY	No	0.949999981	5	$5.00
08:45:33	BUY	No	0.949999981	5	$5.00
01:08:40	BUY	Yes	0.06	179	$10.71
00:58:34	BUY	No	0.94	523	$491.34
00:44:10	BUY	No	0.9399999976	106	$100.00
20:20:19	BUY	No	0.949999996	13	$12.00
17:54:07	SELL	No	0.94	345	$324.75
17:53:12	SELL	No	0.94	2	$2.19
17:52:43	BUY	No	0.94	4	$3.68
17:52:40	BUY	No	0.9399991996	1	$1.01
17:52:40	BUY	No	0.94	2,268	$2131.60
10:59:06	SELL	No	0.93	1	$0.93
06:52:24	BUY	Yes	0.0699999999	143	$10.00
06:05:18	SELL	No	0.94	448	$421.09
04:59:54	BUY	No	0.95	20	$19.00
03:24:00	BUY	No	0.9499999059	1	$1.01
03:23:58	BUY	No	0.94	5,333	$5013.42
00:27:09	BUY	No	0.9399999997	160	$150.00
21:21:16	SELL	No	0.93	905	$841.46
21:21:13	SELL	No	0.93	3	$2.44
21:21:12	SELL	No	0.93	769	$715.11
15:43:01	SELL	No	0.93	1,568	$1458.24
14:01:31	BUY	No	0.9399999962	5	$5.00