US recession by end of 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-31
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.26. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	8,648	8,648
0.11	1,083	9,732
0.12	2,230	11,962
0.13	1,994	13,955
0.14	2,647	16,603
0.15	2,210	18,813
0.16	1,000	19,813
0.17	1,314	21,127
0.18	3,777	24,904
0.19	4,910	29,814
0.20	810	30,624
0.21	10	30,634

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	4,002	4,002
0.08	16,290	20,292
0.07	7,152	27,444
0.06	9,338	36,782
0.05	7,375	44,157
0.04	7,729	51,886
0.03	21,671	73,558
0.02	41,262	114,820
0.01	141,997	256,816

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	4,002	4,002
0.92	16,290	20,292
0.93	7,152	27,444
0.94	9,338	36,782
0.95	7,375	44,157
0.96	7,729	51,886
0.97	21,671	73,558
0.98	41,262	114,820
0.99	141,997	256,816

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	8,648	8,648
0.89	1,083	9,732
0.88	2,230	11,962
0.87	1,994	13,955
0.86	2,647	16,603
0.85	2,210	18,813
0.84	1,000	19,813
0.83	1,314	21,127
0.82	3,777	24,904
0.81	4,910	29,814
0.80	810	30,624
0.79	10	30,634

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xa0f2…1848	Yes	209,069.76
XVFlow	Yes	69,286.87
AlmostAndy	Yes	20,570.92
emrico	Yes	13,550.46
0x546029093abad5c5615f72c903908baccfc8c7b5	Yes	13,015.05
Chandaria	Yes	8,565.75
Wojtek	Yes	8,448.29
tanye	Yes	6,378.5
flovinskas3	Yes	5,648.69
ikerv	Yes	5,599.99
0xB87d55Cc65d2c060Ab16CfCd9d9b49E9D00fd094-1768047958836	Yes	4,321.08
slippy0	Yes	3,999.97
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	3,537.55
0xblocked	Yes	3,534.53
RogueWon	Yes	3,490.12
neutralwave23	Yes	3,389.64
TimeTraveler	Yes	2,937.55
usaar	Yes	2,630.32
jacoboliver	Yes	2,508.23
BTCGambler247	Yes	2,500

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:17:43	BUY	No	0.91	14	$12.74
20:15:45	BUY	No	0.91	300	$273.00
20:02:48	BUY	No	0.91	1,000	$910.00
19:51:01	SELL	No	0.9	59	$53.04
19:51:01	SELL	No	0.9	41	$37.11
19:50:55	BUY	No	0.91	2,000	$1820.00
16:02:46	BUY	No	0.899999685	2	$2.00
15:34:30	SELL	Yes	0.1	1	$0.07
08:46:04	SELL	No	0.89	31	$27.69
07:58:15	BUY	No	0.899999928	11	$10.00
07:46:25	SELL	Yes	0.1	102	$10.24
06:47:45	BUY	No	0.9	100	$90.00
05:10:16	BUY	No	0.899999685	2	$2.00
05:09:13	BUY	No	0.899999928	6	$5.00
05:08:22	SELL	No	0.89	16	$13.88
04:05:27	SELL	No	0.9	50	$45.00
04:04:49	BUY	No	0.9099992538	1	$1.00
04:03:52	SELL	No	0.9	109	$98.04
04:03:52	SELL	No	0.9	156	$140.03
04:03:51	BUY	Yes	0.1	491	$49.10
04:03:49	BUY	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
04:03:48	BUY	Yes	0.1	491	$49.10
04:03:48	SELL	No	0.9	30	$27.00
04:03:46	BUY	No	0.8962556094	5,696	$5104.89
02:36:25	BUY	No	0.8899996084	1	$1.00