PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BTCGambler247

0x31c518f864d1394361fec967b3daa9093a86ede4

Realised P&L
$300.2k
Volume
$12.49M
Markets traded
560
Open portfolio
$148.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded560
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$25.2k+$616.56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1820.221$19.0k+$3.3k
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0500.045$15.5k$1.7k
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0600.074$15.1k+$2.8k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1020.105$7.7k+$254.71
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9230.958$5.7k+$207.01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.595$5.7k+$807.54
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0340.030$5.2k$587.91
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9140.973$4.9k+$292.50
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0290.029$4.7k$73.59
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.980$3.9k+$318.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6300.855$3.2k+$854.99
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.7000.745$2.7k+$164.30
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.040$2.5k$59.47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7800.905$2.4k+$337.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 05:33Cowboys vs. GiantsBUY0.61$10.2k
09-13 04:50Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.13$336.70
09-13 04:43Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.237$201.45
09-10 04:35Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$67.27
09-09 21:13Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$4.84
09-09 20:56Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$6.20
09-09 20:50Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$6.08
09-09 20:46Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$6.20
09-09 20:37Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$5.39
09-09 20:34Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$6.20
09-09 20:28Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$6.20
09-09 20:25Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$621.10
09-09 20:25Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$336.84
09-07 05:08Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$6.73
09-05 20:57Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.062$12.40