PolyBot

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Traders

BTCGambler247

0x31c518f864d1394361fec967b3daa9093a86ede4

Realised P&L
$392.2k
Volume
$13.01M
Markets traded
592
Open portfolio
$163.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded592
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0640.104$25.8k+$9.9k
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0500.075$23.6k+$7.9k
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.230$22.5k+$2.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1820.183$15.6k+$73.34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1020.098$7.1k−$291.09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.715$6.8k+$1.9k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9230.973$5.8k+$297.01
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0290.045$5.7k+$2.1k
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.075$5.4k+$4.6k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9140.980$4.9k+$327.50
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.980$3.9k+$318.00
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0340.026$3.4k−$1.0k
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.7000.905$3.3k+$748.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6300.865$3.3k+$892.99
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7800.937$2.5k+$423.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 19:491H Spread: Pacers (-2.5)BUY0.56$308.25
10-25 16:59Spread: 49ers (-3.5)BUY0.59$1.4k
10-25 04:44Spread: Texans (-10.5)BUY0.49$9.3k
10-25 04:35Rams vs. RaidersBUY0.39$9.9k
10-25 02:13Spread: Utah (-6.5)BUY0.5$17.6k
10-24 22:52Golden Knights vs. Blue JacketsBUY0.45$2.0k
10-24 19:35BYU vs. UCFBUY0.26$146.48
10-24 19:34BYU vs. UCFBUY0.26$470.26
10-24 19:30Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.004$1.86
10-23 02:24Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.004$20.30
10-23 01:49Houston vs. UtahSELL0.3091911592$3.5k
10-23 01:47Houston vs. UtahBUY0.32$3.7k
10-22 22:40Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5BUY0.49$73.50
10-22 22:37Spread: Liberty (-8.5)BUY0.5$16.0k
10-18 23:08Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.5BUY0.51$18.4k