usaar
0xba8c500e6c279f5da1989bb8cb290ab63079513c
- Realised P&L
- $-132.78
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $272.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.095 | $249.88 | −$50.12 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.105 | $22.34 | −$77.66 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 12:51 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 14:02 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.0949999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 20:17 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1140547441 | $300.00 |