0xB1973A4c1edA59307dBC495a4BC384f77cDe6968-1780833529951
0xdbd346b7a599269a60f572fbd069f3173afa2947
- Realised P&L
- $-205.07
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $279.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.055 | $140.92 | −$76.06 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.024 | $84.00 | −$223.87 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.098 | $33.46 | −$16.54 |
| UK Recession in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.050 | $21.25 | −$12.75 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:52 | UK Recession in 2026? | SELL | 0.08505 | $17.01 |
| 09-13 20:01 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4296527658 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 19:56 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.1456885758 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 19:39 | UK Recession in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 19:38 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0941390886 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 19:36 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0723695696 | $28.52 |
| 09-13 19:34 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.0879049396 | $110.50 |