tanye
0x776edd9345b7e332ef7eadf80ab52e7d442a0805
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $605.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.095 | $605.96 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.56at 0.430US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$74.36at 0.310Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$67.86at 0.280US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$61.10at 0.460Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$8.52at 0.507Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 03:57 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2629351425 | $250.00 |
| 04-14 20:28 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999997 | $500.00 |
| 04-14 20:28 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3033756706 | $500.00 |
| 04-14 20:27 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999993 | $250.00 |
| 04-14 20:25 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999993 | $250.00 |
| 01-24 23:27 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.354422538 | $142.91 |
| 01-24 23:26 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $71.60 |
| 01-24 23:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.5536766487 | $361.09 |
| 01-13 09:10 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.45 | $181.45 |
| 01-12 06:33 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $167.86 |
| 01-12 06:32 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $108.52 |
| 01-12 06:32 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $273.99 |
| 01-12 00:13 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.73 | $437.99 |
| 01-09 10:20 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.3352065446 | $100.00 |
| 01-09 10:19 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |