PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tanye

0x776edd9345b7e332ef7eadf80ab52e7d442a0805

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$605.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2930.095$605.96$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-17 03:57US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.2629351425$250.00
04-14 20:28US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.3099999997$500.00
04-14 20:28US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.3033756706$500.00
04-14 20:27US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.2999999993$250.00
04-14 20:25US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.2999999993$250.00
01-24 23:27Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.354422538$142.91
01-24 23:26Iran coup attempt by June 30?SELL0.24$71.60
01-24 23:26Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.5536766487$361.09
01-13 09:10Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.45$181.45
01-12 06:33US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.47$167.86
01-12 06:32Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.55$108.52
01-12 06:32Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.31$273.99
01-12 00:13Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?SELL0.73$437.99
01-09 10:20Iran coup attempt by June 30?BUY0.3352065446$100.00
01-09 10:19US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999985$100.00