PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Chandaria

0x44cf1adbef03497ae2f469bd9cd5da3de6e02211

Realised P&L
$-21.3k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes0.0450.053$1.4k+$239.87
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1670.065$1.3k$2.0k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0880.040$675.81$827.89
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3250.075$642.43$2.1k
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.5810.218$39.33$65.33
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$200.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$959.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00$534.30
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$30.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$1.1k
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$727.11
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision? · Yes0.3140.000$0.00$60.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00$237.77
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$25.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 18:19Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.0474356399$167.92
08-03 18:16Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.042$107.03
08-03 16:12Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.042$126.00
07-31 13:38Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.0634377534$90.73
07-31 12:58Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.0527734703$231.76
07-31 12:56Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.0398503552$483.38
07-03 03:59Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?SELL0.005$1.78
06-02 18:32Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0449790259$16.00
06-02 18:28Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0187917588$4.76
06-02 18:28Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0594258555$50.00
06-01 18:46Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?BUY0.1123117721$41.76
06-01 13:27Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?BUY0.0169999998$80.00
06-01 13:25Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?BUY0.1294442677$50.00
06-01 13:23Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?BUY0.1017703682$24.02
06-01 09:22Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?BUY0.025$50.00