US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.71. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.82. Range 0.69 to 0.82. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	1,304	1,304
0.75	164	1,468
0.76	98	1,567
0.83	5	1,572
0.84	5	1,577
0.97	11	1,587
0.98	130	1,717
0.99	217	1,934

Spread0.06Mid0.71

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	168	168
0.67	90	258
0.66	20	278
0.52	20	298
0.51	20	318
0.47	340	658
0.42	20	678
0.41	50	728
0.40	99	827
0.20	100	927
0.12	10	937
0.11	365	1,302

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	168	168
0.33	90	258
0.34	20	278
0.48	20	298
0.49	20	318
0.53	340	658
0.58	20	678
0.59	50	728
0.60	99	827
0.80	100	927
0.88	10	937
0.89	365	1,302

Spread0.06Mid0.29

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	1,304	1,304
0.25	164	1,468
0.24	98	1,567
0.17	5	1,572
0.16	5	1,577
0.03	11	1,587
0.02	130	1,717
0.01	217	1,934

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
spacegliderr	Yes	1,033.45
LehmanBrother2.0	Yes	153.34
lissartter	Yes	20
0x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-1773587380195	Yes	18.25
EdgeHustler	Yes	11.63
0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788	Yes	10
enrico-vasaio	Yes	9
0xb182B0dA51Eedfa76c9d96E4506EDCE4c7ee0afC-1777373763633	Yes	8.33
financegaaaydog	Yes	6.67
0x27df…8556	Yes	5
Unknownbadger	Yes	1.64
xtxpleasecallme	No	402.71
RayGuy	No	340
StarMaster	No	163.84
hfv	No	156.6
2B9S	No	47.69
nanioto	No	27
T22222222222	No	20.01
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	No	20
D222222222	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:58:17	BUY	No	0.32	8	$2.48
08:40:35	BUY	Yes	0.75	7	$5.39
08:40:35	BUY	Yes	0.75	7	$5.38
08:40:34	BUY	Yes	0.75	7	$5.39
08:40:34	BUY	Yes	0.75	8	$5.80
00:47:05	SELL	Yes	0.7	8	$5.83
08:01:19	BUY	No	0.29	35	$10.00
07:51:17	BUY	No	0.28	8	$2.23
02:28:27	BUY	No	0.25	48	$12.00
00:03:56	SELL	No	0.24	113	$27.18
15:49:53	SELL	No	0.27	12	$3.16
15:07:33	SELL	No	0.29	52	$15.00
10:24:18	SELL	No	0.24	40	$9.60
00:19:12	BUY	No	0.28	60	$16.83
22:39:09	BUY	Yes	0.75	79	$59.25
19:50:18	SELL	Yes	0.72	20	$14.40
18:27:53	SELL	Yes	0.72	7	$5.33
17:55:12	SELL	Yes	0.72	13	$9.07
11:15:06	SELL	No	0.26	15	$3.90
11:02:38	BUY	No	0.27	5	$1.40
10:05:44	BUY	No	0.2899999996	52	$15.00
09:10:59	BUY	No	0.3	27	$8.21
09:10:59	BUY	No	0.3	50	$15.00
09:10:59	BUY	No	0.28	67	$18.87
09:10:59	BUY	No	0.27	340	$91.80