PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb182B0dA51Eedfa76c9d96E4506EDCE4c7ee0afC-1777373763633

0xa8d8ea0cd6f294ae6ae73ee0f229e776d69d0d5a

Realised P&L
$-202.18
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
374
Open portfolio
$5.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded374
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration2.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.710$5.92+$0.92
XRP Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.5390.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - August 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$5.00
XRP Up or Down - August 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$4.90
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.5250.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$6.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00
Solana Up or Down - August 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 00:46XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-18 06:32US bank failure by December 31, 2026?BUY0.599999976$5.00
10-11 01:47Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-01 13:00Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.5299999961$15.00
09-23 05:03Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSELL0.93$9.21
09-23 04:44Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.5049504841$5.00
09-23 04:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-17 09:07Solana Up or Down - September 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-17 08:03Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-08 11:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4799999846$10.00
08-23 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
08-16 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.5148514597$5.00
08-14 07:53XRP Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.86$8.09
08-14 07:51Solana Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
08-14 07:50XRP Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.78$7.80