PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Unknownbadger

0x1b8b6d88d1a793b0d761dc157b5d3a680e24e815

Realised P&L
$63.84
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$96.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.8600.895$52.03+$2.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8000.885$22.13+$2.13
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3700.700$9.46+$4.46
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · Yes0.4700.885$1.88+$0.88
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2900.105$1.81−$3.19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7300.966$1.32+$0.32
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.7100.880$1.24+$0.24
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · No0.7000.845$1.21+$0.21
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7900.945$1.20+$0.20
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.710$1.16+$0.16
Maduro guilty of all counts? · No0.6900.665$0.96−$0.04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.2900.255$0.88−$0.12
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? · Yes0.1300.060$0.46−$0.54
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3400.145$0.43−$0.57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.1000.019$0.20−$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 14:16Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
10-24 14:16Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
10-24 14:15Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
10-23 13:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-23 13:04Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.8599999983$50.00
10-18 13:18Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
10-18 12:45Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-18 11:45US bank failure by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-18 11:43Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 0 - 2 US Lecce?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-18 11:41Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: US Lecce O/U 2.5BUY0.4829998541$1.00
10-18 11:23Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.61$18.30
10-18 11:22Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.35$3.50
10-18 11:22Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.15$1.50
10-18 11:19Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
09-19 13:04UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4299999991$5.00