PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.14 to 0.27. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.185050
0.194998
0.205103
0.21515618
0.2210628
0.2310638
0.2420658
0.2593751
0.28118869
0.295001,369
0.581071,476
0.594751,951

Spread0.03Mid0.16

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1555
0.14510
0.132535
0.11540
0.10213253
0.09487741
0.081,7002,440
0.071952,636
0.062,0604,696
0.056,05410,750
0.044,05014,800
0.036,74321,544

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8555
0.86510
0.872535
0.89540
0.90213253
0.91487741
0.921,7002,440
0.931952,636
0.942,0604,696
0.956,05410,750
0.964,05014,800
0.976,74321,544

Spread0.03Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.825050
0.814998
0.805103
0.79515618
0.7810628
0.7710638
0.7620658
0.7593751
0.72118869
0.715001,369
0.421071,476
0.414751,951

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TheWindKnowsmyNameYes13,921.84
BenX2025Yes2,272.97
simplemanYes381
TheMasterMindYes300
rocky42011Yes300
HaradwaithYes108.01
KimchiCapitalYes100
chessplayerYes79.01
cigarettesYes49.99
pootytherewardfarmerYes49.2
BeeYouYes48.54
youtube-traderYes30.06
MtnMarkYes30
PPMTYes29.99
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes29.99
aliizYes21.21
0x6D84B4df53fD3C37Cd8Ea165183F642398934C02-1787870294456Yes18.18
xtxpleasecallmeYes15.53
ghorrockYes11.03
0x708a…51f8Yes10.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:32:19BUYNo0.82999999820$16.39
19:32:19BUYNo0.8160$127.82
19:32:18BUYNo0.8220$16.40
19:32:18BUYNo0.817340226619$15.58
19:32:18BUYNo0.8220$16.40
17:47:04BUYNo0.81$1.10
17:47:01BUYYes0.2130$6.30
15:17:51SELLYes0.27$1.49
13:25:54BUYNo0.81$1.10
13:25:51BUYYes0.209999999450$10.47
01:39:21BUYYes0.219999998816$3.61
00:57:21BUYYes0.2220$4.40
00:57:19BUYYes0.2163580741229$49.54
21:23:16BUYNo0.8250$200.00
21:16:49BUYYes0.21100$21.00
19:39:37SELLNo0.8101$81.06
19:39:33SELLNo0.817$5.73
19:10:34BUYNo0.7992065563353$281.83
19:09:46BUYNo0.7940$31.60
19:09:46BUYNo0.781,537$1198.50
10:57:49SELLNo0.7737$28.43
02:00:46BUYYes0.2567$16.76
02:00:46BUYYes0.2178872111852$185.63
02:00:45BUYYes0.2583$20.80
22:30:19BUYNo0.79300$236.74