PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.53. Range 0.28 to 0.53. 9 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.366060
0.3753113
0.3820133
0.4020153
0.55109262
0.7360322
0.74100422
0.75500922
0.9625947
0.9850997
0.991551,152

Spread0.03Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.335050
0.3272122
0.3151173
0.2921194
0.2010204
0.11189393
0.1010403
0.067201,123
0.053751,498
0.041,7093,207
0.033,1586,364
0.022,2198,583

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.675050
0.6872122
0.6951173
0.7121194
0.8010204
0.89189393
0.9010403
0.947201,123
0.953751,498
0.961,7093,207
0.973,1586,364
0.982,2198,583

Spread0.03Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.646060
0.6353113
0.6220133
0.6020153
0.45109262
0.2760322
0.26100422
0.25500922
0.0425947
0.0250997
0.011551,152

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
chessplayerYes129.01
KimchiCapitalYes100
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes29.99
MtnMarkYes10
plytest2Yes5.72
ply-top3-clost-twetYes5.09
ply-h-profit-has-winpriceYes5.09
greatbritainNo244.89
SpreadCtrlNo20
Te0n2No20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:15:58BUYYes0.3320$6.60
21:56:54BUYNo0.4652$23.92
21:30:18BUYNo0.5530$16.49
21:27:46BUYNo0.635651228546$29.23
21:24:18BUYYes0.3166906475139$44.02
19:38:58BUYNo0.6816$10.81
19:29:27BUYNo0.6907633588131$90.49