0xe73f74d14C085b148BC9D50bef2071A01D291e97-1717946715486
0x72316ed4813c7bec703b0d06be829fb066b5415a
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$468.90at 0.442Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$455.97at 0.122Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
- +$249.00at 0.325Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
- +$205.58at 0.248Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
- +$33.07at 0.635Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.136 | $5.99 |
| 10-13 04:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.128 | $3.84 |
| 10-13 04:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.128 | $3.84 |
| 10-13 02:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $152.00 |
| 10-13 02:24 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $4.80 |
| 10-13 01:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.6 | $48.00 |
| 10-12 16:41 | Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-12 16:36 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 10-12 16:15 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-12 16:06 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | BUY | 0.155 | $1.55 |
| 10-12 13:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.56 | $37.08 |
| 10-11 13:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $88.00 |
| 10-11 10:34 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | SELL | 0.3510128114 | $201.65 |
| 10-11 07:36 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $181.41 |
| 10-11 05:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $92.00 |