0x6D84B4df53fD3C37Cd8Ea165183F642398934C02-1787870294456
0x6d84b4df53fd3c37cd8ea165183f642398934c02
- Realised P&L
- $7.80
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $599.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.920 | $223.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.201 | $99.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.240 | 0.235 | $96.94 | −$2.06 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $78.79 | −$1.21 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $78.71 | −$1.29 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.460 | $23.00 | +$13.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:14 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999992 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 20:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.309999999 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 20:10 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9196977352 | $223.00 |
| 09-17 20:01 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.202 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 20:21 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.24 | $99.00 |