0x708a59e960fa4ec116889c9a4f5d02e36e1251f8
0x708a59e960fa4ec116889c9a4f5d02e36e1251f8
- Realised P&L
- $-7.35
- Volume
- $777.82
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $11.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.155 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $2.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.124 | $1.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.165 | $1.76 | −$3.24 |
| Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:48 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1549999977 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 20:33 | Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit? | BUY | 0.01 | $7.00 |
| 09-25 19:00 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 21:09 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 21:08 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1339999922 | $2.00 |