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Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-01
Rewards
200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.466 over the period, from 0.485. Range 0.018 to 0.485. 40 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.02055
0.0299398
0.030226324
0.032355679
0.0335001,179
0.0349512,130
0.0351,9034,033
0.0362,4526,485
0.0391,1347,619
0.0406258,244
0.0469999,243
0.0492009,443

Spread0.003Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0173030
0.0161,1101,140
0.0154221,562
0.0141,6953,257
0.0131,8995,156
0.0122,2337,389
0.0114557,844
0.0107258,569
0.0095569,124
0.0087329,856
0.0072,00611,862
0.0068,48320,346

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9833030
0.9841,1101,140
0.9854221,562
0.9861,6953,257
0.9871,8995,156
0.9882,2337,389
0.9894557,844
0.9907258,569
0.9915569,124
0.9927329,856
0.9932,00611,862
0.9948,48320,346

Spread0.003Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98055
0.9719398
0.970226324
0.968355679
0.9675001,179
0.9669512,130
0.9651,9034,033
0.9642,4526,485
0.9611,1347,619
0.9606258,244
0.9549999,243
0.9512009,443

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
JydyjydYes700
Dr.PNLYes384.36
0x20D10Cc7D0bcfbe3B03b46bbcD79e5e3E3DC43B5-1767694001896Yes353.32
Moksha98Yes346.72
SuperMisterYes217.39
rainbowliliesYes209.99
Numitus1994Yes202
tymeduYes200
cherade9Yes140.86
blaqnorthYes100
AnjunYes77.69
AJSVYes61.03
gavinfundaYes50
A.D.Yes50
pcutzYes33.61
S888Yes29.99
Johnny-WorkerYes25.66
lauremanNo1,298.73
casandra13No542.31
kasperszNo331.61

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:44:07BUYYes0.0283031481353$10.00
11:16:48BUYNo0.98131$30.00
11:16:25BUYNo0.9809999922102$100.00
11:16:13BUYNo0.9804746034404$396.00
11:16:13BUYNo0.9760956174410$400.00
09:02:28BUYNo0.975300$292.50
01:37:45BUYYes0.02975393534$1.00
01:31:43BUYNo0.9735944122285$277.04
22:06:12BUYYes0.0288413724347$10.00
21:00:00BUYNo0.97299998051$1.00
20:01:21BUYYes0.0275$0.14
19:10:23BUYNo0.97399999735$5.00
16:55:21BUYYes0.029901960851$1.53
16:22:09BUYNo0.972100$97.20
14:43:51BUYYes0.033875400$13.55
13:58:02SELLNo0.96647$45.40
13:48:56SELLYes0.0251369273550$13.83
13:48:53BUYNo0.96626900131,299$1254.92
12:57:41BUYYes0.0354959572141$5.00
11:46:14BUYNo0.9649689602311$300.00
11:35:05BUYNo0.96421$19.97
10:53:20SELLNo0.96225$24.05
10:06:55SELLYes0.03350$1.65
09:55:50SELLYes0.03325$0.83
09:55:49SELLYes0.03475$2.55