A.D.
0xc8b8880b91effc64f4ce9d5869b9767a55a6c770
- Realised P&L
- $-512.17
- Volume
- $526.8k
- Markets traded
- 652
- Open portfolio
- $93.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded652
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$950.42at 0.205Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$428.56at 0.169Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
- +$340.88at 0.132Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$267.85at 0.356Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
- +$262.01at 0.202US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 03:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.054 | $10.80 |
| 10-07 16:05 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 10:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 11:38 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-29 11:37 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-29 09:58 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $4.20 |
| 09-28 15:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 04:13 | Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.14 |
| 09-19 19:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:41 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-05 10:43 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0597777778 | $5.38 |
| 08-28 18:52 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.70 |
| 08-24 14:02 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |