PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

A.D.

0xc8b8880b91effc64f4ce9d5869b9767a55a6c770

Realised P&L
$-512.17
Volume
$526.8k
Markets traded
652
Open portfolio
$93.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded652
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0930.110$27.70+$4.26
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1200.115$11.50−$0.50
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · Yes0.0090.009$9.50+$0.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0650.045$9.00−$4.00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1240.090$9.00−$3.40
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.025$7.50−$7.53
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0200.018$5.25−$0.88
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes0.0450.082$4.09+$1.85
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0670.055$3.85−$0.85
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes0.1000.060$3.00−$2.00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.033$1.65−$3.75
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0650.045$0.90−$0.40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31? · Yes0.0470.032$0.74−$0.35
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$17.57
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$39.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 03:22US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.054$10.80
10-07 16:05Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.1$10.00
10-01 10:39Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?BUY0.01$5.00
09-30 18:03Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.1$10.00
09-29 11:38Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.23$23.00
09-29 11:37Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.12$12.00
09-29 09:58Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.021$4.20
09-28 15:43Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$7.00
09-21 04:13Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?BUY0.91$19.11
09-19 20:01Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.027$0.14
09-19 19:15Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.004$1.00
09-13 10:41NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.10
09-05 10:43Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0597777778$5.38
08-28 18:52Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?SELL0.034$1.70
08-24 14:02Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.09$9.00