pcutz
0x7ca70c749d157b6c51b37376611f28784a5c81dd
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $288.7k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.368Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$849.16at 0.271Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$394.50at 0.111Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$347.39at 0.110Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$284.62at 0.260Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:37 | Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.029753935 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:11 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2760563365 | $35.00 |
| 09-10 05:31 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999979 | $34.67 |
| 09-10 04:27 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.945 | $35.12 |
| 09-01 16:54 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999841 | $30.85 |
| 09-01 16:54 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.03051741 | $30.52 |
| 08-19 21:09 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.137 | $76.72 |
| 08-19 21:09 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0142325357 | $79.23 |
| 08-19 02:24 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0293516586 | $240.00 |
| 08-19 01:50 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $260.32 |
| 08-17 02:04 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0299999962 | $7.49 |
| 05-22 21:42 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.2510052161 | $210.00 |
| 04-24 21:40 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $700.00 |
| 04-21 18:08 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.16 | $115.00 |
| 04-01 20:20 | Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.3189130435 | $14.67 |