PolyBot

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Traders

pcutz

0x7ca70c749d157b6c51b37376611f28784a5c81dd

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$288.7k
Markets traded
270
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded270
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5100.605$830.39+$130.39
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0290.030$226.50+$8.39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1370.165$92.12+$15.40
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2760.275$34.87$0.13
Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0300.018$0.62$0.38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00$210.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$496.42
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by April 30, 2026? · No0.0870.000$0.00$46.82
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$14.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? · No0.1600.000$0.00$115.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 01:37Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.029753935$1.00
09-16 02:11Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2760563365$35.00
09-10 05:31Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2899999979$34.67
09-10 04:27Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?SELL0.945$35.12
09-01 16:54Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999841$30.85
09-01 16:54Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.03051741$30.52
08-19 21:09Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.137$76.72
08-19 21:09Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0142325357$79.23
08-19 02:24Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0293516586$240.00
08-19 01:50Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$260.32
08-17 02:04Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0299999962$7.49
05-22 21:42Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.2510052161$210.00
04-24 21:402026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5099999999$700.00
04-21 18:08Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.16$115.00
04-01 20:20Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.3189130435$14.67