Jydyjyd
0x1c4cd350bce3cb791daf88ce2034de9b03318d85
- Realised P&L
- $25.3k
- Volume
- $1.82M
- Markets traded
- 981
- Open portfolio
- $446.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded981
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? · No | 0.639 | 0.860 | $196.89 | +$50.64 |
| Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.140 | $75.43 | +$25.08 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.230 | $57.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.375 | $37.50 | +$2.60 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.070 | $28.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.033 | $24.75 | +$0.00 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.032 | $15.75 | +$9.25 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.011 | $11.00 | −$49.00 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$747.31at 0.753Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$684.82at 0.140Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
- +$655.27at 0.451Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
- +$640.16at 0.456Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?
- +$631.36at 0.311Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:01 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.349 | $34.90 |
| 08-02 13:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 08-01 00:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 07-29 23:10 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.955 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 14:37 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.0153325 | $6.13 |
| 07-28 22:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.719 | $718.99 |
| 07-28 10:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $125.47 |
| 07-26 11:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6097 | $609.70 |
| 07-25 17:41 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.59 | $295.00 |
| 07-23 12:22 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | SELL | 0.38 | $152.00 |
| 07-22 23:48 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $148.00 |
| 07-22 21:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.68492 | $684.92 |
| 07-22 15:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.5712920692 | $53.81 |
| 07-21 14:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.0910388323 | $30.31 |
| 07-21 11:09 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4972283897 | $199.31 |