kaspersz
0x351a52a7a12df76b54f652d89d322bba400d3bc7
- Realised P&L
- $361.54
- Volume
- $612.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,080
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,080
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.971 | 0.969 | $398.97 | −$1.03 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.982 | $325.47 | +$5.50 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.815 | $206.32 | −$6.33 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.925 | $196.81 | −$3.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$503.80at 0.793Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$427.98at 0.246Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$184.55at 0.941Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$118.20at 0.955US strike on Mexico by March 31?
- +$111.23at 0.859Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:55 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 14:04 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $212.65 |
| 09-19 11:46 | Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649689602 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 11:35 | Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $19.97 |
| 09-19 11:34 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.9709999999 | $400.00 |
| 03-27 08:45 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | SELL | 0.9917249173 | $2.3k |
| 03-27 08:44 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | SELL | 0.778478751 | $760.93 |
| 03-24 09:24 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0053317003 | $1.14 |
| 03-21 21:24 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? | SELL | 0.0623029579 | $101.21 |
| 03-21 11:16 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | BUY | 0.9695643487 | $309.97 |
| 03-21 11:16 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | BUY | 0.967 | $100.00 |
| 03-21 11:15 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $409.98 |
| 03-21 11:14 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | BUY | 0.966 | $535.50 |
| 03-21 11:14 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | SELL | 0.9882778444 | $535.50 |
| 03-20 23:04 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | BUY | 0.9794358746 | $535.74 |