PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kaspersz

0x351a52a7a12df76b54f652d89d322bba400d3bc7

Realised P&L
$361.54
Volume
$612.1k
Markets traded
1,080
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,080
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9710.969$398.97$1.03
Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? · No0.9650.982$325.47+$5.50
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.815$206.32$6.33
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9400.925$196.81$3.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 16:55Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.9399999976$200.00
09-19 14:04Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999997$212.65
09-19 11:46Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9649689602$300.00
09-19 11:35Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.964$19.97
09-19 11:34Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.9709999999$400.00
03-27 08:45US strike on Mexico by March 31?SELL0.9917249173$2.3k
03-27 08:44Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?SELL0.778478751$760.93
03-24 09:24Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?SELL0.0053317003$1.14
03-21 21:24Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?SELL0.0623029579$101.21
03-21 11:16Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?BUY0.9695643487$309.97
03-21 11:16Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?BUY0.967$100.00
03-21 11:15US strike on Mexico by March 31?SELL0.985$409.98
03-21 11:14Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?BUY0.966$535.50
03-21 11:14Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?SELL0.9882778444$535.50
03-20 23:04US strike on Mexico by March 31?BUY0.9794358746$535.74