PolyBot

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.022. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.015 to 0.037. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.027133133
0.02810143
0.02940183
0.04750233
0.048456689
0.049232921
0.0506001,521
0.0593001,821
0.0606002,421
0.068242,445
0.0702002,645
0.0802002,845

Spread0.010Mid0.022

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0176060
0.01550110
0.0141,3601,470
0.0131,5553,025
0.0042503,275
0.0037714,045
0.0026754,720
0.0011,7156,435

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9836060
0.98550110
0.9861,3601,470
0.9871,5553,025
0.9962503,275
0.9977714,045
0.9986754,720
0.9991,7156,435

Spread0.010Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.973133133
0.97210143
0.97140183
0.95350233
0.952456689
0.951232921
0.9506001,521
0.9413001,821
0.9406002,421
0.932242,445
0.9302002,645
0.9202002,845

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
FridayYes2,000
expomaxYes1,801.21
DirkDiggler67Yes1,111
whispercatalystYes428.13
0x5533…51baYes250.3
0xee67…67a6Yes205.73
RolandZhangYes135.74
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes132.96
tator-totYes100
Dr.PNLYes63.05
grinder1011Yes60.91
a5533Yes50
AJSVYes25.92
litigationYes20.21
HuludubuNo2,967.53
MrNoItAllNo1,465
Jest55No367.65
johnnyANo164.05
pullthetriggerNo127.62
overgameNo127.32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:27:22BUYYes0.027190064837$1.01
11:29:28BUYNo0.9848358605122$120.00
10:25:25BUYNo0.984838551124$122.00
06:43:40BUYNo0.98240$39.28
06:35:25BUYNo0.98240$39.28
02:15:13BUYYes0.02560$1.50
10:34:30BUYNo0.98520$19.70
10:30:46BUYNo0.985287742884$83.00
08:01:28BUYNo0.98496524761,151$1133.69
08:01:12BUYNo0.9831082803314$308.70
05:54:36BUYNo0.98376$75.00
03:56:07BUYYes0.01825$0.45
03:04:39BUYNo0.98230$29.25
02:54:54SELLYes0.0180$0.00
02:54:21BUYYes0.03447$1.60
13:53:06BUYNo0.95168$64.34
13:38:39BUYYes0.0480478612452$21.73
08:39:25BUYNo0.98520$19.70
18:03:15BUYYes0.034629492427$0.93
13:51:28BUYYes0.025560$1.53
13:26:36BUYNo0.983200597673$72.00
10:49:03BUYNo0.984999999956$55.00
07:29:13BUYNo0.98691$90.00
07:25:25BUYNo0.973085299251$50.00
19:03:43BUYYes0.04242$1.76