litigation
0xbc998383c7397ae62e7f7c738047617e4c2dae7a
- Realised P&L
- $241.24
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $86.57
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.36at 0.110Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?
- +$13.83at 0.125US bank failure by May 31?
- +$13.75at 0.099Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?
- +$11.22at 0.120Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
- +$9.89at 0.190Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:05 | Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $9.24 |
| 08-15 06:28 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-15 06:22 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-15 05:59 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-15 00:21 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-15 00:09 | First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-09 06:19 | Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.53 |
| 07-19 12:17 | Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.32 |
| 07-19 12:15 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.98 |
| 06-25 13:50 | NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-13 15:37 | SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | SELL | 0.48 | $10.56 |
| 06-04 19:16 | Joe Rogan joins 60 Minutes by June 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.64 |
| 05-28 19:59 | Trump on $250 bill this year? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.30 |
| 05-09 14:16 | Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.98 |
| 05-05 14:28 | US bank failure by May 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.81 |