0xbc998383c7397ae62e7f7c738047617e4c2dae7a
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $69.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.36at 0.110Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?
- +$15.84at 0.120Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?
- +$13.83at 0.125US bank failure by May 31?
- +$13.75at 0.099Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?
- +$11.22at 0.100First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 16:51 | First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 10-21 17:25 | Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.08 |
| 10-11 15:47 | Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.20 |
| 09-27 02:24 | Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-27 02:24 | Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-12 13:05 | Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $9.24 |
| 08-15 06:28 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-15 06:22 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-15 05:59 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-15 00:21 | Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-15 00:09 | First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-09 06:19 | Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.53 |
| 07-19 12:17 | Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.32 |
| 07-19 12:15 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.98 |
| 06-25 13:50 | NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |