MrNoItAll
0x836ffd95ef3cf3c7987612279b2152b11ce6906e
- Realised P&L
- $37.9k
- Volume
- $3.37M
- Markets traded
- 663
- Open portfolio
- $242.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded663
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.961Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$4.0kat 0.948Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$4.0kat 0.888Iran leadership change by June 30?
- +$2.6kat 0.887Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$2.3kat 0.904Iran leadership change by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $523.48 |
| 11-01 14:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9906391629 | $576.53 |
| 11-01 14:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.9959648974 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 13:36 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.969 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 13:36 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 10:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 10:14 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.956233345 | $411.52 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $329.06 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | BUY | 0.9627529461 | $389.69 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? | BUY | 0.9636830856 | $359.79 |
| 11-01 10:12 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $130.81 |
| 11-01 10:11 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 09:14 | Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9908558109 | $595.11 |
| 11-01 09:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 09:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9848666363 | $1.1k |