MrNoItAll
0x836ffd95ef3cf3c7987612279b2152b11ce6906e
- Realised P&L
- $31.7k
- Volume
- $2.86M
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $252.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.961Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$4.0kat 0.948Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$4.0kat 0.888Iran leadership change by June 30?
- +$2.6kat 0.887Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$2.3kat 0.904Iran leadership change by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.3k |
| 09-17 05:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $506.92 |
| 09-17 04:57 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.8k |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6689997149 | $117.31 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9969536931 | $113.24 |
| 09-17 03:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.4k |
| 09-16 02:43 | Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $24.47 |
| 09-16 02:39 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $123.61 |
| 09-16 02:39 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-16 02:39 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9326964828 | $187.48 |
| 09-16 02:38 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.91 | $44.22 |
| 09-16 02:38 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $348.60 |
| 09-16 02:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 09:35 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | BUY | 0.9297047444 | $723.28 |
| 09-15 09:34 | Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in September 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $35.20 |