PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
OpenAI + Anthropic. Currently 0.11. Unchanged over the period, from 0.11. Range 0.10 to 0.12. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

OpenAI + Anthropic

Live
OpenAI + Anthropic asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.12337337
0.13600937
0.1813950
0.195955
0.3411966
0.3630996
0.4051,001
0.7281,009
0.743511,360
0.804,0165,376
0.817916,166
0.851,6277,793

Spread0.02Mid0.11

OpenAI + Anthropic bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10125125
0.091,8331,958
0.086062,563
0.07152,578
0.062952,873
0.051,9864,859
0.045445,403
0.031,5116,915
0.023,12510,039
0.016,53816,577

Google

Live
Google asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90125125
0.911,8331,958
0.926062,563
0.93152,578
0.942952,873
0.951,9864,859
0.965445,403
0.971,5116,915
0.983,12510,039
0.996,53816,577

Spread0.02Mid0.89

Google bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.88337337
0.87600937
0.8213950
0.815955
0.6611966
0.6430996
0.6051,001
0.2881,009
0.263511,360
0.204,0165,376
0.197916,166
0.151,6277,793

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x8BBa93cD5a8A0eCD4616184bB0b626Ba1A817F8f-1782840009949OpenAI + Anthropic57.78
Numitus1994OpenAI + Anthropic57.13
maxlangOpenAI + Anthropic56.36
LornaPredictsOpenAI + Anthropic51.14
codexUmbraOpenAI + Anthropic41.67
Dr.PNLOpenAI + Anthropic39.37
AJSVOpenAI + Anthropic28.25
End123OpenAI + Anthropic10.82
GDV82aOpenAI + Anthropic10
AndresRSOpenAI + Anthropic10
0x9643bbf5502Cb11b1710c6DE76b03392785B0083-1778335360252OpenAI + Anthropic8.62
0x0a069OpenAI + Anthropic7.14
cc416OpenAI + Anthropic5
55sfdsOpenAI + Anthropic3.89
AnjunOpenAI + Anthropic1.15
CrypGoogle300
pootytherewardfarmerGoogle52
James-ClaudeGoogle8.62
RisottoPastaGoogle5
kartik0xGoogle5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:39:29BUYOpenAI + Anthropic0.119999980842$5.00
15:05:57BUYOpenAI + Anthropic0.106451597756$6.00
19:27:43BUYOpenAI + Anthropic0.110$1.00
12:55:01SELLGoogle0.914$12.21
14:03:46SELLGoogle0.934$30.85
23:20:19SELLGoogle0.91$1.03
07:23:49SELLGoogle0.910$9.00
16:36:41SELLGoogle0.9120$18.20
16:36:40BUYOpenAI + Anthropic0.086538446958$5.00
13:00:37SELLOpenAI + Anthropic0.065$0.30
18:09:31SELLOpenAI + Anthropic0.0935$3.15
18:03:58SELLOpenAI + Anthropic0.09100$9.00
18:03:58SELLOpenAI + Anthropic0.09100$9.00
18:03:55BUYGoogle0.9098333333300$272.95
17:50:43SELLGoogle0.8728$24.49
17:50:40SELLGoogle0.8846$40.48
09:52:43BUYGoogle0.95$4.52
09:52:34BUYGoogle0.91$1.00
01:58:31SELLGoogle0.8846$40.48
01:58:28BUYOpenAI + Anthropic0.119019607851$6.07
22:05:19BUYOpenAI + Anthropic0.13999988247$1.00
12:46:10BUYGoogle0.87999996481$1.00
06:17:04SELLOpenAI + Anthropic0.16$0.57
19:05:26BUYOpenAI + Anthropic0.349999936$2.00
15:07:40SELLOpenAI + Anthropic0.124$0.43