codexUmbra
0x3ba618ab3fa350ee79f998703cbbfaf2501a13d2
- Realised P&L
- $-56.10
- Volume
- $493.64
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $60.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.28at 0.470US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.897Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?
- +$0.55at 0.847Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?
- +$-1.00at 0.140Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
- +$-1.00at 0.220Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 22:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 20:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $15.00 |
| 09-07 17:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:56 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 16:55 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 16:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:48 | Will Solana reach $80 in August? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:43 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:39 | OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1129999815 | $5.00 |