0x9643bbf5502Cb11b1710c6DE76b03392785B0083-1778335360252
0x9643bbf5502cb11b1710c6de76b03392785b0083
- Realised P&L
- $-96.88
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $1.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? · OpenAI + Anthropic | 0.580 | 0.210 | $1.81 | −$3.19 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21? · Up | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.92at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$8.15at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$6.17at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$5.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$4.54at 0.532Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 19:35 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 19:29 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers | SELL | 0.019 | $0.12 |
| 05-28 18:20 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 18:16 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 19:37 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21? | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 22:14 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 21:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |