blub.0
0x164e6f501a2c25ea331e8b1732b6ea3622ba785b
- Realised P&L
- $-11.9k
- Volume
- $312.1k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.13at 0.904Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?
- +$77.30at 0.948Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?
- +$43.71at 0.989US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
- +$30.00at 0.940Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$28.00at 0.720US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.26 | $169.52 |
| 09-09 19:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 09-08 20:18 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.35 |
| 09-06 06:22 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.40 |
| 09-05 21:24 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.75 | $118.21 |
| 09-05 21:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.33 | $163.35 |
| 08-31 13:01 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 08-20 22:16 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 08-20 15:52 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.16 | $24.00 |
| 08-10 20:23 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-08 16:49 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 07-31 01:37 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.13 |
| 07-31 00:45 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.03 |
| 07-29 08:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.211 | $76.34 |
| 07-12 02:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.392 | $19.60 |