Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.584. down 0.021 over the period, from 0.605. Range 0.582 to 0.605. 69 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.585	713	713
0.587	2,400	3,113
0.588	10,075	13,188
0.589	7,754	20,943
0.590	6,492	27,435
0.592	10,250	37,685
0.593	60,643	98,327
0.594	37,320	135,647
0.595	29,362	165,009
0.596	7,885	172,895
0.597	267	173,162
0.598	1,760	174,922

Spread0.002Mid0.584

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.583	1,886	1,886
0.582	3,059	4,945
0.581	3,500	8,445
0.580	15,287	23,732
0.578	1,136	24,868
0.577	1,000	25,868
0.576	5,000	30,868
0.575	6,200	37,068
0.574	10,207	47,275
0.573	15,610	62,886
0.572	96,262	159,148
0.571	63,008	222,156

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.417	1,886	1,886
0.418	3,059	4,945
0.419	3,500	8,445
0.420	15,287	23,732
0.422	1,136	24,868
0.423	1,000	25,868
0.424	5,000	30,868
0.425	6,200	37,068
0.426	10,207	47,275
0.427	15,610	62,886
0.428	96,262	159,148
0.429	63,008	222,156

Spread0.002Mid0.416

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.415	713	713
0.413	2,400	3,113
0.412	10,075	13,188
0.411	7,754	20,943
0.410	6,492	27,435
0.408	10,250	37,685
0.407	60,643	98,327
0.406	37,320	135,647
0.405	29,362	165,009
0.404	7,885	172,895
0.403	267	173,162
0.402	1,760	174,922

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Car	Yes	2,306
Majas	Yes	296.06
0x2583…261a	Yes	166.21
title1	Yes	89.65
0xb6ce…895d	Yes	44
MixoTr03	Yes	42.37
AJSV	Yes	27.5
0x7b64e09f384b07534dfF21859A0d27b823aE8440-1774472209075	Yes	18.45
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	17.1
77kbCcPrd2uG8w	Yes	13
betstaker	Yes	10.35
zstaxpl4fpb2	Yes	7.68
rubuis	Yes	4.76
xiaocencen	Yes	4.74
terioing	Yes	4.4
kingter	Yes	4.4
judgejoker	Yes	3.45
dondonki	Yes	2.87
sixiwanzi	Yes	2.85
tiayu	Yes	2.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:15:50	BUY	Yes	0.5849999006	2	$1.00
15:33:03	BUY	Yes	0.5859997925	2	$1.22
15:32:27	BUY	Yes	0.5859998404	2	$1.41
12:27:03	BUY	No	0.4159999225	2	$1.03
12:21:56	BUY	No	0.4159999525	4	$1.68
11:51:25	BUY	Yes	0.5859998394	2	$1.43
11:44:43	BUY	Yes	0.5859999315	5	$2.79
11:43:34	BUY	No	0.4159999225	2	$1.03
11:40:04	BUY	Yes	0.5859998667	3	$1.67
11:38:53	BUY	Yes	0.5859999169	4	$2.58
11:37:44	BUY	No	0.4159999588	7	$2.91
11:09:32	BUY	No	0.4169998993	3	$1.23
11:06:02	BUY	Yes	0.585999914	5	$2.78
10:43:52	BUY	Yes	0.5849999739	3	$1.68
10:42:08	BUY	No	0.4169999755	5	$1.91
10:32:04	BUY	Yes	0.584999757	2	$1.24
10:30:17	BUY	Yes	0.5849999453	2	$1.07
10:29:07	BUY	Yes	0.5849997953	2	$1.30
10:27:55	BUY	No	0.4169999907	7	$2.77
09:33:07	BUY	No	0.4169999248	3	$1.22
09:04:40	BUY	Yes	0.5859999959	3	$2.02
08:57:35	BUY	No	0.4159999753	6	$2.70
08:50:20	BUY	Yes	0.5859999093	2	$1.06
08:27:17	BUY	Yes	0.5859998898	2	$1.33
08:24:55	BUY	Yes	0.5859999093	2	$1.06