rubuis
0x1d7994d5d5c4ce2364ef27a5da742534f2b22584
- Realised P&L
- $-0.17
- Volume
- $259.52
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $2.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.586 | 0.584 | $2.78 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.612UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$1.50at 0.540Spread: USC Trojans (-3.5)
- +$1.22at 0.700Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.610Bruins vs. Canadiens
- +$0.88at 0.610Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 11:44 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.5859999315 | $2.79 |
| 09-24 19:48 | Navy vs. UAB | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6799998269 | $1.10 |
| 07-30 15:13 | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5999999582 | $2.87 |
| 06-27 14:14 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.4399998544 | $1.33 |
| 05-23 12:02 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.6099998497 | $1.38 |
| 05-11 12:52 | Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.7899999416 | $2.57 |
| 05-07 12:44 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.25 |
| 05-03 12:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.6999999562 | $1.60 |
| 04-05 11:31 | Devils vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5899999941 | $2.01 |
| 04-01 10:38 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.6499996772 | $1.51 |
| 03-21 12:15 | Jets vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.6 | $1.14 |
| 03-17 09:20 | Bruins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.6099998851 | $1.54 |
| 03-14 09:41 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026? | BUY | 0.6999998275 | $2.84 |
| 03-07 06:22 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |