PolyBot

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Traders

dondonki

0x974bfa0ee3c590c16a8a6ddc9e09cf76ccb1c237

Realised P&L
$8.21
Volume
$971.19
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$3.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.5850.584$1.68−$0.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5700.795$1.51+$0.43
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.001$0.06−$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 10:43Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.5849999739$1.68
09-24 17:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5699999525$1.08
08-03 09:01Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.7799997268$1.77
07-30 15:29Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6$2.05
07-04 05:44Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7799996967$1.44
06-28 06:18Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2699999328$2.53
06-04 11:54US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.25$2.99
05-23 12:50Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?BUY0.6499998055$2.84
05-17 09:30Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.5299999448$1.92
05-15 12:10Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.3299999399$2.80
05-03 08:50Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.2999998512$1.21
04-15 08:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?BUY0.4599998244$1.31
04-12 16:01Bruins vs. Blue JacketsBUY0.419999943$1.62
04-11 15:19Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.005$1.00
04-05 07:44Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?BUY0.3899999363$1.53