zstaxpl4fpb2
0x92c7f6219053e1ad67779f7f4fe30cb0007b89f5
- Realised P&L
- $-380.95
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 526
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded526
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.18at 0.912Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$19.14at 0.640Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$12.93at 0.555Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$12.00at 0.973US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
- +$8.91at 0.226US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999824 | $1.91 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.13 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.42 |
| 11-01 16:59 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.25 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.9699999588 | $1.65 |
| 11-01 10:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999785 | $1.79 |
| 11-01 03:42 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9199998634 | $4.04 |
| 11-01 03:42 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.8299999095 | $5.41 |
| 11-01 03:13 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $54.45 |
| 10-31 22:19 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $47.02 |
| 10-31 21:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $1.33 |
| 10-31 21:03 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9979999664 | $15.34 |
| 10-31 20:56 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.7299995919 | $1.27 |
| 10-31 20:56 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.44 |
| 10-31 20:56 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $15.44 |